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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Fagiano Okayama v Sanfrecce Hiroshima: numbers & prediction

J1 League · Japan · City Light Stadium
Fagiano Okayama 18%Draw 25%Sanfrecce Hiroshima 57% Expected goals 0.75 – 1.55
82%
Betarazi pick

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultSanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✗57% · @1.85
Double chanceSanfrecce Hiroshima or draw ✗82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.07

Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 6 September the J1 League brings Fagiano Okayama against Sanfrecce Hiroshima at City Light Stadium. Kick-off: 10:00 WAT. In the table, Fagiano Okayama are 6th, lower half, on 26 points after 18 matches; Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (among the top four) with 30.

Current form

Fagiano Okayama, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over JEF United Chiba, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Nagoya Grampus, at home. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Sanfrecce Hiroshima, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.7 for Fagiano Okayama.

Head to head

When they last met (2 May 2026) it ended Fagiano Okayama 1–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima. The last 2 head-to-heads: Fagiano Okayama 1 win, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Fagiano Okayama 0.8 xG, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1.5 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Fagiano Okayama 18%, draw 25%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 57%.
  • Lower-risk option: Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw (82%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw (82%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fagiano Okayama 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Fagiano Okayama18%fair 5.41 · @3.60
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.50
Sanfrecce Hiroshima57%fair 1.76 · @1.85
2.30Expected goals
0.75Fagiano Okayama xG
1.55Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
55%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–116%
0–212%
1–112%
0–010%
1–29%
1–08%

From our goals model: Fagiano Okayama 0.8 – 1.5 Sanfrecce Hiroshima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✗57%1.761.85
Double chanceSanfrecce Hiroshima or draw ✗82%1.231.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.811.65
Draw no betSanfrecce Hiroshima (draw no bet) ✗75%1.33–
Asian handicapFagiano Okayama +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗60%1.68–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80%1.25–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗92%1.09–
First team to scoreSanfrecce Hiroshima to score first61%1.65–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sanfrecce Hiroshima / FT Sanfrecce Hiroshima ✗34%2.93–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.07–

Recent results

Fagiano Okayama – last 6

WLWDWL
2 Sep@ JEF United Chiba2–1W
29 Aug@ Nagoya Grampus1–2L
26 Augvs Beluga Rosso Iwami3–0W
22 Augvs Tokyo Verdy0–0D
15 Augvs V-varen Nagasaki1–0W
8 Aug@ Cerezo Osaka1–2L
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Sanfrecce Hiroshima – last 6

WDWDWW
2 Sepvs Nagoya Grampus3–0W
29 Aug@ Gamba Osaka0–0D
26 Augvs Okinawa SV4–1W
22 Augvs Kawasaki Frontale1–1D
15 Aug@ Urawa4–1W
8 Augvs JEF United Chiba3–0W
2.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 May 2026Fagiano Okayama v Sanfrecce Hiroshima1–0
14 Feb 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Fagiano Okayama1–1
Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima head-to-head page →

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vissel Kobe181107+435
2Cerezo Osaka181107+931
3Nagoya Grampus181008+231
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima181008+830
5Gamba Osaka181008+628
6Fagiano Okayama188010-326
7Shimizu S-pulse188010-224
8Kyoto Sanga188010-623
9V-varen Nagasaki187011-821
10Avispa Fukuoka187011-1021

More J1 League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Our pick is Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

On our numbers Fagiano Okayama have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sanfrecce Hiroshima 57%.

How many goals will there be in Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Our predicted score is Fagiano Okayama 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at City Light Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.