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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Vissel Kobe v V-varen Nagasaki: numbers & prediction

J1 League · Japan · Noevir Stadium
3–1
FT
Vissel Kobe 61%Draw 20%V-varen Nagasaki 19% Expected goals 1.76 – 0.84
61%
Betarazi pick

Vissel Kobe to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.67Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultVissel Kobe to win ✓61% · @1.67
Double chanceVissel Kobe or draw ✓81% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.35

Vissel Kobe vs V-varen Nagasaki: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

11:00 WAT, Sunday 6 September: Vissel Kobe v V-varen Nagasaki in the J1 League, played at Noevir Stadium. In the table, Vissel Kobe are 1st, leading the league, on 35 points after 18 matches; V-varen Nagasaki are 9th (in the drop zone) with 21. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Vissel Kobe, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Tokyo Verdy, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

V-varen Nagasaki, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Gamba Osaka, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Vissel Kobe, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for V-varen Nagasaki.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Feb 2026) it ended Vissel Kobe 2–0 V-varen Nagasaki.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Vissel Kobe 1.8 xG, V-varen Nagasaki 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Vissel Kobe 61%, draw 20%, V-varen Nagasaki 19%.
  • Lower-risk option: Vissel Kobe or draw (81%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.91.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Vissel Kobe to win (61%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vissel Kobe 1–0 V-varen Nagasaki. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Vissel Kobe61%fair 1.65 · @1.67
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @3.50
V-varen Nagasaki19%fair 5.18 · @5.00
2.60Expected goals
1.76Vissel Kobe xG
0.84V-varen Nagasaki xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%

From our goals model: Vissel Kobe 1.8 – 0.8 V-varen Nagasaki expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVissel Kobe to win ✓61%1.651.67
Double chanceVissel Kobe or draw ✓81%1.241.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.791.91 ▲
Draw no betVissel Kobe (draw no bet) ✓76%1.32–
Asian handicapV-varen Nagasaki +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.36–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗52%1.93–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74%1.36–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scoreVissel Kobe to score first ✓63%1.60–
Half-time resultVissel Kobe ahead at half-time ✓42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT Vissel Kobe / FT Vissel Kobe ✓37%2.73–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.35–

Recent results

Vissel Kobe – last 6

WWWLDW
2 Sep@ Tokyo Verdy2–0W
29 Augvs Cerezo Osaka1–0W
26 Augvs Veroskronos Tsuno2–1W
22 Aug@ Yokohama F. Marinos0–1L
15 Augvs FC Tokyo2–2D
8 Aug@ Avispa Fukuoka1–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

V-varen Nagasaki – last 6

DLWLLW
2 Sepvs Gamba Osaka2–2D
29 Augvs FC Tokyo0–3L
26 Augvs Ehime FC3–2W
21 Aug@ Kashiwa Reysol2–4L
15 Aug@ Fagiano Okayama0–1L
9 Augvs Kyoto Sanga2–1W
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Feb 2026Vissel Kobe v V-varen Nagasaki2–0
Vissel Kobe vs V-varen Nagasaki head-to-head page →

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vissel Kobe181107+435
2Cerezo Osaka181107+931
3Nagoya Grampus181008+231
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima181008+830
5Gamba Osaka181008+628
6Fagiano Okayama188010-326
7Shimizu S-pulse188010-224
8Kyoto Sanga188010-623
9V-varen Nagasaki187011-821
10Avispa Fukuoka187011-1021

More J1 League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vissel Kobe vs V-varen Nagasaki?

Our pick is Vissel Kobe to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Vissel Kobe vs V-varen Nagasaki?

On our numbers Vissel Kobe have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 20% and V-varen Nagasaki 19%.

How many goals will there be in Vissel Kobe vs V-varen Nagasaki?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Vissel Kobe vs V-varen Nagasaki?

Our predicted score is Vissel Kobe 1–0 V-varen Nagasaki, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Vissel Kobe vs V-varen Nagasaki?

Vissel Kobe vs V-varen Nagasaki (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Noevir Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.