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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Avispa Fukuoka v Sanfrecce Hiroshima: numbers & prediction

J1 League · Japan · Best Denki Stadium
Avispa Fukuoka 22%Draw 19%Sanfrecce Hiroshima 58% Expected goals 1.17 – 2.04
60%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.70Odds

Picks by market

ResultSanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✓58% · @1.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.17

Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

10:00 WAT, Saturday 19 September: Avispa Fukuoka v Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the J1 League, played at Best Denki Stadium. In the table, Avispa Fukuoka are 10th, in the drop zone, on 21 points after 18 matches; Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (among the top four) with 30.

Current form

Avispa Fukuoka, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Shimizu S-pulse, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 6–1 win over Cerezo Osaka, at home. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Sanfrecce Hiroshima, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.3 for Avispa Fukuoka.

Head to head

When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–1 Avispa Fukuoka.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Avispa Fukuoka 1.2 xG, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2.0 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Avispa Fukuoka 22%, draw 19%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 58%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.66, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Avispa Fukuoka 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Avispa Fukuoka22%fair 4.53 · @4.40
Draw19%fair 5.14 · @3.70
Sanfrecce Hiroshima58%fair 1.71 · @1.70
3.21Expected goals
1.17Avispa Fukuoka xG
2.04Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
60%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%
1–110%
0–28%
0–18%
1–37%
0–36%

From our goals model: Avispa Fukuoka 1.2 – 2.0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✓58%1.711.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81%1.241.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.661.70
Draw no betSanfrecce Hiroshima (draw no bet) ✓73%1.38–
Asian handicapAvispa Fukuoka +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83%1.20–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓60%1.67–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
First team to scoreSanfrecce Hiroshima to score first ✓61%1.64–
Half-time resultSanfrecce Hiroshima ahead at half-time ✗43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sanfrecce Hiroshima / FT Sanfrecce Hiroshima ✗37%2.74–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.17–

Recent results

Avispa Fukuoka – last 6

LDLLDL
12 Sep@ Shimizu S-pulse0–1L
5 Sepvs Mito Hollyhock1–1D
2 Sepvs Urawa2–3L
29 Aug@ Kyoto Sanga1–2L
26 Augvs Verspah Oita0–0D
22 Aug@ Kashima2–3L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Sanfrecce Hiroshima – last 6

WLWDWD
12 Sepvs Cerezo Osaka6–1W
6 Sep@ Fagiano Okayama2–3L
2 Sepvs Nagoya Grampus3–0W
29 Aug@ Gamba Osaka0–0D
26 Augvs Okinawa SV4–1W
22 Augvs Kawasaki Frontale1–1D
2.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Apr 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Avispa Fukuoka0–1
Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima head-to-head page →

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vissel Kobe181107+435
2Cerezo Osaka181107+931
3Nagoya Grampus181008+231
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima181008+830
5Gamba Osaka181008+628
6Fagiano Okayama188010-326
7Shimizu S-pulse188010-224
8Kyoto Sanga188010-623
9V-varen Nagasaki187011-821
10Avispa Fukuoka187011-1021

More J1 League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

On our numbers Avispa Fukuoka have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Sanfrecce Hiroshima 58%.

How many goals will there be in Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Our predicted score is Avispa Fukuoka 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Best Denki Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.