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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Yokohama F. Marinos v Mito Hollyhock: numbers & prediction

J1 League · Japan · Nissan Stadium
Yokohama F. Marinos 61%Draw 24%Mito Hollyhock 15% Expected goals 1.97 – 0.89
85%
Betarazi pick

Yokohama F. Marinos or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.30Odds
1

Value bet: Yokohama F. Marinos to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultYokohama F. Marinos to win ✓61% · @1.95
Double chanceYokohama F. Marinos or draw ✓85% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.11

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Mito Hollyhock: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Yokohama F. Marinos welcome Mito Hollyhock to Nissan Stadium for a J1 League fixture on Saturday 19 September (11:30 WAT). In the table, Yokohama F. Marinos are 7th, lower half, on 20 points after 18 matches; Mito Hollyhock are 9th (in the drop zone) with 18. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Yokohama F. Marinos, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Machida Zelvia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Mito Hollyhock, last 5: LDDWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Kawasaki Frontale, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Yokohama F. Marinos, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Mito Hollyhock.

Head to head

When they last met (18 Mar 2026) it ended Mito Hollyhock 1–0 Yokohama F. Marinos.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Yokohama F. Marinos 2.0 xG, Mito Hollyhock 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Yokohama F. Marinos 61%, draw 24%, Mito Hollyhock 15%.
  • Lower-risk option: Yokohama F. Marinos or draw (85%) at 1.30.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.65.
  • Price worth noting: Yokohama F. Marinos to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 61%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Yokohama F. Marinos or draw (85%, odds 1.30 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Yokohama F. Marinos 1–0 Mito Hollyhock. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Yokohama F. Marinos61%fair 1.64 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.40
Mito Hollyhock15%fair 6.77 · @3.40
2.86Expected goals
1.97Yokohama F. Marinos xG
0.89Mito Hollyhock xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%

From our goals model: Yokohama F. Marinos 2.0 – 0.9 Mito Hollyhock expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultYokohama F. Marinos to win ✓61%1.641.95 ▲
Double chanceYokohama F. Marinos or draw ✓85%1.171.30 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.671.65
Draw no betYokohama F. Marinos (draw no bet) ✓81%1.24–
Asian handicapYokohama F. Marinos -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗54%1.84–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
First team to scoreYokohama F. Marinos to score first ✓65%1.54–
Half-time resultYokohama F. Marinos ahead at half-time ✓45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Yokohama F. Marinos / FT Yokohama F. Marinos ✓40%2.51–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.11–

Recent results

Yokohama F. Marinos – last 6

DWDLWW
12 Sep@ Machida Zelvia1–1D
6 Sep@ Kashiwa Reysol2–0W
2 Sepvs Kyoto Sanga1–1D
29 Aug@ Urawa2–3L
26 Augvs Fukushima United1–0W
22 Augvs Vissel Kobe1–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Mito Hollyhock – last 6

LDDWDL
12 Sepvs Kawasaki Frontale0–1L
9 Sep@ Parceiro Nagano0–0D
5 Sep@ Avispa Fukuoka1–1D
2 Sepvs Kashima4–2W
29 Augvs Machida Zelvia1–1D
26 Augvs Kyoto Sangyo University0–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Mar 2026Mito Hollyhock v Yokohama F. Marinos1–0
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Mito Hollyhock head-to-head page →

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Kashima181503+2045
2FC Tokyo181305+1437
3Machida Zelvia181305+637
4Kawasaki Frontale181008-228
5Tokyo Verdy181008-428
6Urawa187011+325
7Yokohama F. Marinos186012-320
8Kashiwa Reysol187011-220
9Mito Hollyhock186012-1618
10JEF United Chiba183015-1612

More J1 League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Mito Hollyhock?

Our pick is Yokohama F. Marinos or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Yokohama F. Marinos vs Mito Hollyhock?

On our numbers Yokohama F. Marinos have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Mito Hollyhock 15%.

How many goals will there be in Yokohama F. Marinos vs Mito Hollyhock?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Mito Hollyhock?

Our predicted score is Yokohama F. Marinos 1–0 Mito Hollyhock, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Yokohama F. Marinos vs Mito Hollyhock?

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Mito Hollyhock (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Nissan Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.