Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultShimizu S-pulse to win ✓56% · @1.85
Double chanceShimizu S-pulse or draw ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.90
Shimizu S-pulse vs JEF United Chiba: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Shimizu S-pulse welcome JEF United Chiba to IAI Stadium Nihondaira for a J1 League fixture on Saturday 19 September (10:30 WAT). In the table, Shimizu S-pulse are 7th, lower half, on 24 points after 18 matches; JEF United Chiba are 10th (in the drop zone) with 12. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Shimizu S-pulse, last 5: WLDLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Avispa Fukuoka, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
JEF United Chiba, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Tokyo Verdy, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shimizu S-pulse 1.5 xG, JEF United Chiba 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shimizu S-pulse 56%, draw 23%, JEF United Chiba 22%.
Lower-risk option: Shimizu S-pulse or draw (78%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Shimizu S-pulse or draw (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shimizu S-pulse 1–0 JEF United Chiba. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shimizu S-pulse56%fair 1.80 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.30
JEF United Chiba22%fair 4.61 · @3.80
2.36Expected goals
1.53Shimizu S-pulse xG
0.83JEF United Chiba xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
0–09%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Shimizu S-pulse 1.5 – 0.8 JEF United Chiba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shimizu S-pulse to win✓
56%
1.80
1.85
Double chance
Shimizu S-pulse or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.75
Draw no bet
Shimizu S-pulse (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
JEF United Chiba +1 (Asian handicap)
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Shimizu S-pulse to score first✗
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shimizu S-pulse / FT Shimizu S-pulse✗
33%
3.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
10.90
–
Recent results
Shimizu S-pulse – last 6
WLDLDL
12 Sep
vs Avispa Fukuoka
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Kawasaki Frontale
1–3
L
2 Sep
vs FC Tokyo
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Kashiwa Reysol
0–1
L
26 Aug
vs Osaka
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Cerezo Osaka
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
JEF United Chiba – last 6
DWWLLD
13 Sep
@ Tokyo Verdy
1–1
D
9 Sep
@ Kamatamare Sanuki
2–0
W
6 Sep
vs Gamba Osaka
2–0
W
2 Sep
vs Fagiano Okayama
1–2
L
29 Aug
@ Kawasaki Frontale
2–4
L
26 Aug
vs Azul Claro Numazu
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shimizu S-pulse and JEF United Chiba.
What is the prediction for Shimizu S-pulse vs JEF United Chiba?
Our pick is Shimizu S-pulse or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Shimizu S-pulse vs JEF United Chiba?
On our numbers Shimizu S-pulse have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 23% and JEF United Chiba 22%.
How many goals will there be in Shimizu S-pulse vs JEF United Chiba?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shimizu S-pulse vs JEF United Chiba?
Our predicted score is Shimizu S-pulse 1–0 JEF United Chiba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Shimizu S-pulse vs JEF United Chiba?
Shimizu S-pulse vs JEF United Chiba (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Avispa Fukuoka0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima1
V-varen Nagasaki1
Cerezo Osaka1
Nagoya Grampus0
Fagiano Okayama1
Kyoto Sanga2