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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Fagiano Okayama v Kyoto Sanga: numbers & prediction

J1 League · Japan · JFE Harenokuni Stadium
1–2
FT
Fagiano Okayama 58%Draw 24%Kyoto Sanga 18% Expected goals 1.93 – 1.00
82%
Betarazi pick

Fagiano Okayama or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: Fagiano Okayama to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultFagiano Okayama to win ✗58% · @1.85
Double chanceFagiano Okayama or draw ✗82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06

Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Kyoto Sanga travel to face Fagiano Okayama on Saturday 19 September in the J1 League, with JFE Harenokuni Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 11:00 WAT. In the table, Fagiano Okayama are 6th, lower half, on 26 points after 18 matches; Kyoto Sanga are 8th (in the drop zone) with 23. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Fagiano Okayama, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Urawa, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Kyoto Sanga, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Daejeon Citizen, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Fagiano Okayama, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Kyoto Sanga.

Head to head

When they last met (11 Apr 2026) it ended Kyoto Sanga 5–1 Fagiano Okayama. The last 2 head-to-heads: Fagiano Okayama 1 win, Kyoto Sanga 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Fagiano Okayama 1.9 xG, Kyoto Sanga 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Fagiano Okayama 58%, draw 24%, Kyoto Sanga 18%.
  • Lower-risk option: Fagiano Okayama or draw (82%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.75.
  • Price worth noting: Fagiano Okayama to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 58%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Fagiano Okayama or draw (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fagiano Okayama 1–1 Kyoto Sanga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Fagiano Okayama58%fair 1.72 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.40
Kyoto Sanga18%fair 5.47 · @3.90
2.93Expected goals
1.93Fagiano Okayama xG
1.00Kyoto Sanga xG
58%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–010%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%

From our goals model: Fagiano Okayama 1.9 – 1.0 Kyoto Sanga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFagiano Okayama to win ✗58%1.721.85 ▲
Double chanceFagiano Okayama or draw ✗82%1.221.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.731.75
Draw no betFagiano Okayama (draw no bet) ✗76%1.31–
Asian handicapKyoto Sanga +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.78–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
First team to scoreFagiano Okayama to score first62%1.61–
Half-time resultFagiano Okayama ahead at half-time ✗43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Fagiano Okayama / FT Fagiano Okayama ✗37%2.69–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.06–

Recent results

Fagiano Okayama – last 6

WWWLWD
13 Sep@ Urawa2–1W
6 Sepvs Sanfrecce Hiroshima3–2W
2 Sep@ JEF United Chiba2–1W
29 Aug@ Nagoya Grampus1–2L
26 Augvs Beluga Rosso Iwami3–0W
22 Augvs Tokyo Verdy0–0D
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Kyoto Sanga – last 6

LLLDWW
15 Sep@ Daejeon Citizen0–1L
11 Sepvs Kashiwa Reysol2–3L
6 Sep@ FC Tokyo0–2L
2 Sep@ Yokohama F. Marinos1–1D
29 Augvs Avispa Fukuoka2–1W
26 Augvs Maruyasu Okazaki1–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Apr 2026Kyoto Sanga v Fagiano Okayama5–1
8 Mar 2026Fagiano Okayama v Kyoto Sanga1–0
Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga head-to-head page →

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vissel Kobe181107+435
2Cerezo Osaka181107+931
3Nagoya Grampus181008+231
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima181008+830
5Gamba Osaka181008+628
6Fagiano Okayama188010-326
7Shimizu S-pulse188010-224
8Kyoto Sanga188010-623
9V-varen Nagasaki187011-821
10Avispa Fukuoka187011-1021

More J1 League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga?

Our pick is Fagiano Okayama or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga?

On our numbers Fagiano Okayama have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Kyoto Sanga 18%.

How many goals will there be in Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga?

Our predicted score is Fagiano Okayama 1–1 Kyoto Sanga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga?

Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at JFE Harenokuni Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.