Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultInverness CT to win ✗37% · @2.42
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 14.03
Inverness CT vs Dunfermline: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 1 August: Inverness CT v Dunfermline in the Championship, played at Tulloch Caledonian Stadium. In the table, Inverness CT are 6th, lower half, on 20 points after 14 matches; Dunfermline are 3rd (among the top four) with 25.
Current form
Inverness CT, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Morton, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Dunfermline, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over ST Mirren, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Inverness CT 1.1 xG, Dunfermline 1.2 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Inverness CT 37%, draw 28%, Dunfermline 36%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Inverness CT 1–1 Dunfermline. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Inverness CT37%fair 2.74 · @2.42
Draw28%fair 3.60 · @3.20
Dunfermline36%fair 2.80 · @2.72
2.23Expected goals
1.07Inverness CT xG
1.16Dunfermline xG
53%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Inverness CT 1.1 – 1.2 Dunfermline expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Inverness CT
Dunfermline
Attack vs Championship average
+16%
+0%
Goals conceded vs average
+7%
-39%
Our expected goals here
0.91
1.14
Our own ratings from every Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Inverness CT to win✗
37%
2.74
2.42
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.38
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.80
Draw no bet
Inverness CT (draw no bet)
51%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Inverness CT +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Dunfermline to score first✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dunfermline / FT Dunfermline✗
21%
4.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
14.03
–
Recent results
Inverness CT – last 6
WWWDWL
25 Jul
@ Morton
1–0
W
21 Jul
vs ST Johnstone
1–0
W
18 Jul
@ Linlithgow Rose
2–0
W
11 Jul
vs East Fife
1–1
D
7 Jul
@ Cove Rangers
4–1
W
4 Jul
vs Ross County
0–4
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Dunfermline – last 6
WWWLWW
26 Jul
@ ST Mirren
1–0
W
21 Jul
vs Cove Rangers
5–0
W
14 Jul
vs Dumbarton
4–1
W
11 Jul
@ East Kilbride
0–3
L
4 Jul
@ Kelty Hearts
3–0
W
27 Jun
@ Clyde
2–1
W
2.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Inverness CT and Dunfermline.
What is the prediction for Inverness CT vs Dunfermline?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Inverness CT vs Dunfermline?
On our numbers Inverness CT have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Dunfermline 36%.
How many goals will there be in Inverness CT vs Dunfermline?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Inverness CT vs Dunfermline?
Our predicted score is Inverness CT 1–1 Dunfermline, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Inverness CT vs Dunfermline?
Inverness CT vs Dunfermline (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Tulloch Caledonian Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
