Morton vs Partick: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Partick travel to face Morton on Saturday 1 August in the Championship, with Cappielow Park the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Morton are 9th, in the drop zone, on 13 points after 13 matches; Partick are 1st (leading the league) with 28. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Morton, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Inverness CT, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.
Partick, last 5: DDDWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Clydebank, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Partick, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.3 for Morton.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Mar 2026) it ended Morton 1–2 Partick.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Morton 0.9 xG, Partick 1.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Morton 18%, draw 24%, Partick 58%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Morton 1–1 Partick. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Morton18%fair 5.46 · @5.00
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @4.00
Partick58%fair 1.72 · @1.56
2.70Expected goals
0.94Morton xG
1.77Partick xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–07%
1–06%
From our goals model: Morton 0.9 – 1.8 Partick expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Morton
Partick
Attack vs Championship average
+19%
+7%
Goals conceded vs average
+43%
-38%
Our expected goals here
0.93
1.63
Our own ratings from every Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Morton vs Partick?
On our numbers Morton have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Partick 58%.
How many goals will there be in Morton vs Partick?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Morton vs Partick?
Our predicted score is Morton 1–1 Partick, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Morton vs Partick?
Morton vs Partick (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Cappielow Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
