Raith Rovers vs Stenhousemuir: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 1 August the Championship brings Raith Rovers against Stenhousemuir. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Raith Rovers are 2nd, among the top four, on 25 points after 14 matches; Stenhousemuir are 4th (among the top four) with 23. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Raith Rovers, last 5: LWDDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Heart Of Midlothian, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Stenhousemuir, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Livingston, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Raith Rovers 1.7 xG, Stenhousemuir 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Raith Rovers 60%, draw 26%, Stenhousemuir 15%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Raith Rovers 1–0 Stenhousemuir. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Raith Rovers60%fair 1.68 · @1.52
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @3.65
Stenhousemuir15%fair 6.77 · @6.25
2.41Expected goals
1.66Raith Rovers xG
0.75Stenhousemuir xG
50%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Raith Rovers 1.7 – 0.8 Stenhousemuir expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Raith Rovers
Stenhousemuir
Attack vs Championship average
+14%
+1%
Goals conceded vs average
-30%
+5%
Our expected goals here
1.53
0.75
Our own ratings from every Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Raith Rovers to win✗
60%
1.68
1.52
Double chance
Raith Rovers or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.95
Draw no bet
Raith Rovers (draw no bet)
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Stenhousemuir +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Raith Rovers to score first
63%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Raith Rovers / FT Raith Rovers✗
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.76
–
Recent results
Raith Rovers – last 6
LWDDWW
24 Jul
vs Heart Of Midlothian
0–1
L
21 Jul
vs Peterhead
1–0
W
18 Jul
@ Hamilton Academical
1–1
D
14 Jul
@ Kilmarnock
0–0
D
11 Jul
vs Elgin City
3–1
W
30 Jun
vs Edinburgh City
4–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Stenhousemuir – last 6
DDWWWD
25 Jul
vs Livingston
0–0
D
21 Jul
@ Partick
2–2
D
18 Jul
@ Brechin
2–1
W
11 Jul
vs Forfar Athletic
2–0
W
13 May
@ Alloa Athletic
3–1
W
5 May
@ Queen of the South
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Raith Rovers and Stenhousemuir.
What is the prediction for Raith Rovers vs Stenhousemuir?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Raith Rovers vs Stenhousemuir?
On our numbers Raith Rovers have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Stenhousemuir 15%.
How many goals will there be in Raith Rovers vs Stenhousemuir?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Raith Rovers vs Stenhousemuir?
Our predicted score is Raith Rovers 1–0 Stenhousemuir, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Raith Rovers vs Stenhousemuir?
Raith Rovers vs Stenhousemuir (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
