Livingston vs Inverness CT: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Livingston welcome Inverness CT to The Home of the Set Fare Arena for a Championship fixture on Saturday 19 September (15:00 WAT). In the table, Livingston are 5th, upper half, on 21 points after 14 matches; Inverness CT are 6th (lower half) with 20. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Livingston, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Morton, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Inverness CT, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Ayr Utd, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Livingston, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Inverness CT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Livingston 1.4 xG, Inverness CT 0.7 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Livingston 57%, draw 21%, Inverness CT 22%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Livingston to win (57%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.74, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Livingston 1–0 Inverness CT. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Livingston57%fair 1.74 · @1.91
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.30
Inverness CT22%fair 4.57 · @3.80
2.08Expected goals
1.39Livingston xG
0.69Inverness CT xG
51%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
0–012%
2–012%
1–112%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Livingston 1.4 – 0.7 Inverness CT expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Livingston to win✗
57%
1.74
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.75
Draw no bet
Livingston (draw no bet)
72%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Inverness CT +1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.63
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.53
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Livingston to score first✓
59%
1.71
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Livingston / FT Livingston✗
32%
3.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.01
–
Recent results
Livingston – last 6
WLLWLW
11 Sep
@ Morton
4–1
W
4 Sep
vs Stenhousemuir
0–1
L
29 Aug
@ Arbroath
0–1
L
22 Aug
vs Dunfermline
2–0
W
7 Aug
@ Partick
0–2
L
1 Aug
vs Queen's Park
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Inverness CT – last 6
WLLDLD
12 Sep
@ Ayr Utd
3–1
W
5 Sep
vs Raith Rovers
0–2
L
29 Aug
@ Stenhousemuir
1–3
L
21 Aug
vs Partick
1–1
D
16 Aug
@ Heart Of Midlothian
2–6
L
8 Aug
@ Arbroath
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Livingston and Inverness CT.
What is the prediction for Livingston vs Inverness CT?
Our pick is Livingston to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Livingston vs Inverness CT?
On our numbers Livingston have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Inverness CT 22%.
How many goals will there be in Livingston vs Inverness CT?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Livingston vs Inverness CT?
Our predicted score is Livingston 1–0 Inverness CT, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Livingston vs Inverness CT?
Livingston vs Inverness CT (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The Home of the Set Fare Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
