Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Stenhousemuir to win @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultStenhousemuir to win ✓57% · @1.91
Double chanceStenhousemuir or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.51
Stenhousemuir vs Arbroath: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Arbroath travel to face Stenhousemuir on Saturday 19 September in the Championship, with Ochilview Park the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Stenhousemuir are 4th, among the top four, on 23 points after 14 matches; Arbroath are 8th (in the drop zone) with 14.
Current form
Stenhousemuir, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Partick, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Arbroath, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Raith Rovers, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Stenhousemuir, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Arbroath.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Stenhousemuir 1.4 xG, Arbroath 0.6 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Stenhousemuir 57%, draw 25%, Arbroath 19%.
Lower-risk option: Stenhousemuir or draw (81%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Stenhousemuir to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Stenhousemuir or draw (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stenhousemuir 1–0 Arbroath. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Stenhousemuir57%fair 1.76 · @1.91
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.10
Arbroath19%fair 5.40 · @4.00
2.00Expected goals
1.37Stenhousemuir xG
0.63Arbroath xG
52%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
0–014%
2–013%
1–112%
0–18%
2–18%
From our goals model: Stenhousemuir 1.4 – 0.6 Arbroath expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stenhousemuir to win✓
57%
1.76
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Stenhousemuir or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
2.00
Draw no bet
Stenhousemuir (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Arbroath +1 (Asian handicap)
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Stenhousemuir to score first✓
59%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stenhousemuir / FT Stenhousemuir✓
33%
3.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.51
–
Recent results
Stenhousemuir – last 6
WLWWWD
15 Sep
vs Partick
1–0
W
11 Sep
vs Heart Of Midlothian
0–3
L
4 Sep
@ Livingston
1–0
W
29 Aug
vs Inverness CT
3–1
W
22 Aug
@ Queen's Park
2–0
W
16 Aug
vs Motherwell
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Arbroath – last 6
LDWWDL
12 Sep
@ Raith Rovers
0–4
L
5 Sep
vs Dunfermline
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Livingston
1–0
W
22 Aug
@ Morton
2–1
W
8 Aug
vs Inverness CT
0–0
D
1 Aug
@ Ayr Utd
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stenhousemuir and Arbroath.
What is the prediction for Stenhousemuir vs Arbroath?
Our pick is Stenhousemuir or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Stenhousemuir vs Arbroath?
On our numbers Stenhousemuir have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Arbroath 19%.
How many goals will there be in Stenhousemuir vs Arbroath?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stenhousemuir vs Arbroath?
Our predicted score is Stenhousemuir 1–0 Arbroath, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Stenhousemuir vs Arbroath?
Stenhousemuir vs Arbroath (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Ochilview Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
