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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Partick v Raith Rovers: numbers & prediction

Championship · Scotland · Firhill Stadium

Partick

LWDDL
0–0
FT
Partick 57%Draw 22%Raith Rovers 21% Expected goals 1.21 – 0.54
79%
Betarazi pick

Partick or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1

Value bet: Partick to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultPartick to win ✗57% · @1.95
Double chancePartick or draw ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 14.54

Partick vs Raith Rovers: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 19 September the Championship brings Partick against Raith Rovers at Firhill Stadium. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Partick are 1st, leading the league, on 28 points after 14 matches; Raith Rovers are 2nd (among the top four) with 25. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Partick, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Stenhousemuir, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Raith Rovers, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Arbroath, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Raith Rovers, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Partick.

Head to head

When they last met (24 Mar 2026) it ended Raith Rovers 0–2 Partick.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Partick 1.2 xG, Raith Rovers 0.5 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 74%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Partick 57%, draw 22%, Raith Rovers 21%.
  • Lower-risk option: Partick or draw (79%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.80.
  • Price worth noting: Partick to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Partick or draw (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Partick 1–0 Raith Rovers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Partick57%fair 1.75 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.25
Raith Rovers21%fair 4.68 · @3.80
1.75Expected goals
1.21Partick xG
0.54Raith Rovers xG
50%Both score
26%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–021%
0–017%
2–013%
1–111%
0–19%
2–17%

From our goals model: Partick 1.2 – 0.5 Raith Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPartick to win ✗57%1.751.95 ▲
Double chancePartick or draw ✓79%1.271.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗50%1.991.80
Draw no betPartick (draw no bet)73%1.37–
Asian handicapRaith Rovers +1 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗52%1.92–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓74%1.34–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓97%1.03–
First team to scorePartick to score first ✗57%1.76–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓52%1.91–
Half-time / full-timeHT Partick / FT Partick ✗30%3.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7%14.54–

Recent results

Partick – last 6

LWDDLW
15 Sep@ Stenhousemuir0–1L
5 Sepvs Ayr Utd1–0W
29 Augvs Queen's Park0–0D
21 Aug@ Inverness CT1–1D
16 Aug@ Hibernian0–1L
7 Augvs Livingston2–0W
0.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Raith Rovers – last 6

WWLWWD
12 Sepvs Arbroath4–0W
5 Sep@ Inverness CT2–0W
28 Aug@ Dunfermline0–1L
22 Augvs Ayr Utd2–0W
8 Aug@ Queen's Park2–1W
1 Augvs Stenhousemuir1–1D
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Mar 2026Raith Rovers v Partick0–2
Partick vs Raith Rovers head-to-head page →

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Partick14842+1128
2Raith Rovers14743+1125
3Dunfermline14671+825
4Stenhousemuir14725023
5Livingston14635+721
6Inverness CT14554+120
7Ayr Utd13436-415
8Arbroath14428-1214
9Morton13418-713
10Queen's Park142111-157

More Championship predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Partick vs Raith Rovers?

Our pick is Partick or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Partick vs Raith Rovers?

On our numbers Partick have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Raith Rovers 21%.

How many goals will there be in Partick vs Raith Rovers?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Partick vs Raith Rovers?

Our predicted score is Partick 1–0 Raith Rovers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.

When is Partick vs Raith Rovers?

Partick vs Raith Rovers (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Firhill Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.