Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 6.05
Ayr Utd vs Dunfermline: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 10 October the Championship brings Ayr Utd against Dunfermline at Somerset Park. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Ayr Utd are 7th, lower half, on 15 points after 13 matches; Dunfermline are 3rd (among the top four) with 25.
Current form
Ayr Utd, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Livingston, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Dunfermline, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Aberdeen, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Dunfermline, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Ayr Utd.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Aug 2026) it ended Dunfermline 1–1 Ayr Utd. The last 2 head-to-heads: Ayr Utd 0 wins, Dunfermline 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ayr Utd 0.8 xG, Dunfermline 1.0 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 73%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ayr Utd 32%, draw 24%, Dunfermline 44%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (50%, odds 1.95). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ayr Utd 0–1 Dunfermline. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ayr Utd32%fair 3.11 · @3.20
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.00
Dunfermline44%fair 2.29 · @2.25
1.81Expected goals
0.80Ayr Utd xG
1.01Dunfermline xG
50%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–117%
0–016%
1–113%
1–013%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Ayr Utd 0.8 – 1.0 Dunfermline expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Ayr Utd vs Dunfermline?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Ayr Utd vs Dunfermline?
On our numbers Ayr Utd have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Dunfermline 44%.
How many goals will there be in Ayr Utd vs Dunfermline?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ayr Utd vs Dunfermline?
Our predicted score is Ayr Utd 0–1 Dunfermline, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Ayr Utd vs Dunfermline?
Ayr Utd vs Dunfermline (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Somerset Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
