Value bet: Partick to win @ 2.88 – our chance 37% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLivingston to win ✗40% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗71% · fair 1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗6% · fair 15.41
Livingston vs Partick: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Partick travel to face Livingston on Saturday 10 October in the Championship, with The Home of the Set Fare Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Livingston are 5th, upper half, on 21 points after 14 matches; Partick are 1st (leading the league) with 28.
Current form
Livingston, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Ayr Utd, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Partick, last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Arbroath, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (7 Aug 2026) it ended Partick 2–0 Livingston. The last 2 head-to-heads: Livingston 0 wins, Partick 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Livingston 1.0 xG, Partick 0.9 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 71%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Livingston 40%, draw 23%, Partick 37%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Partick to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Livingston 1–1 Partick. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Livingston40%fair 2.51 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.20
Partick37%fair 2.68 · @2.88
1.88Expected goals
0.96Livingston xG
0.92Partick xG
55%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–015%
1–015%
0–114%
1–113%
2–07%
2–16%
From our goals model: Livingston 1.0 – 0.9 Partick expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Livingston vs Partick?
On our numbers Livingston have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Partick 37%.
How many goals will there be in Livingston vs Partick?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Livingston vs Partick?
Our predicted score is Livingston 1–1 Partick, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Livingston vs Partick?
Livingston vs Partick (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The Home of the Set Fare Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
