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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Inverness CT v Stenhousemuir: numbers & prediction

Championship · Scotland · Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
2–0
FT
Inverness CT 40%Draw 23%Stenhousemuir 38% Expected goals 1.02 – 0.98
52%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.93 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓

3/10Rating
1.85Odds
2

Value bet: Stenhousemuir to win @ 3.50 – our chance 38% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +32%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultInverness CT to win ✓40% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.24

Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 10 October: Inverness CT v Stenhousemuir in the Championship, played at Tulloch Caledonian Stadium. In the table, Inverness CT are 6th, lower half, on 20 points after 14 matches; Stenhousemuir are 4th (among the top four) with 23. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Inverness CT, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Morton, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Stenhousemuir, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Ayr Utd, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Stenhousemuir, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.3 for Inverness CT.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Aug 2026) it ended Stenhousemuir 3–1 Inverness CT. The last 2 head-to-heads: Inverness CT 0 wins, Stenhousemuir 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Inverness CT 1.0 xG, Stenhousemuir 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Inverness CT 40%, draw 23%, Stenhousemuir 38%.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.85.
  • Price worth noting: Stenhousemuir to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (52%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Inverness CT 1–0 Stenhousemuir. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Inverness CT40%fair 2.51 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.25
Stenhousemuir38%fair 2.66 · @3.50
2.00Expected goals
1.02Inverness CT xG
0.98Stenhousemuir xG
48%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
0–014%
1–114%
0–113%
2–07%
2–17%

From our goals model: Inverness CT 1.0 – 1.0 Stenhousemuir expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultInverness CT to win ✓40%2.512.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.33
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.931.85
Draw no betInverness CT (draw no bet) ✓51%1.94–
Asian handicapStenhousemuir +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓59%1.68–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.06–
First team to scoreInverness CT to score first ✓44%2.27–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗50%2.00–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗22%4.59–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14%7.24–

Recent results

Inverness CT – last 6

WDWLLD
25 Sepvs Morton2–0W
19 Sep@ Livingston2–2D
12 Sep@ Ayr Utd3–1W
5 Sepvs Raith Rovers0–2L
29 Aug@ Stenhousemuir1–3L
21 Augvs Partick1–1D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Stenhousemuir – last 6

WWWLWW
25 Sep@ Ayr Utd1–0W
19 Sepvs Arbroath1–0W
15 Sepvs Partick1–0W
11 Sepvs Heart Of Midlothian0–3L
4 Sep@ Livingston1–0W
29 Augvs Inverness CT3–1W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Aug 2026Stenhousemuir v Inverness CT3–1
21 Feb 2026Inverness CT v Stenhousemuir1–1
Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir head-to-head page →

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Partick14842+1128
2Raith Rovers14743+1125
3Dunfermline14671+825
4Stenhousemuir14725023
5Livingston14635+721
6Inverness CT14554+120
7Ayr Utd13436-415
8Arbroath14428-1214
9Morton13418-713
10Queen's Park142111-157

More Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir?

On our numbers Inverness CT have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Stenhousemuir 38%.

How many goals will there be in Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir?

Our predicted score is Inverness CT 1–0 Stenhousemuir, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir?

Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Tulloch Caledonian Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.