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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Aston Villa v Nottingham Forest: numbers & prediction

Premier League · England · Villa Park
1–2
FT
Aston Villa 43%Draw 23%Nottingham Forest 34% Expected goals 0.92 – 0.75
51%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.97 · bookmaker 2.05 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
2.05Odds

Picks by market

ResultAston Villa to win ✗43% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.78

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Nottingham Forest travel to face Aston Villa on Saturday 12 September in the Premier League, with Villa Park the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Aston Villa are 10th, upper half, on 13 points after 10 matches; Nottingham Forest are 16th (lower half) with 9.

Current form

Aston Villa, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Club Brugge KV, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Nottingham Forest, last 5: DDLLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Tottenham, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Nottingham Forest, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Aston Villa.

Head to head

When they last met (7 May 2026) it ended Aston Villa 4–0 Nottingham Forest. The last 2 head-to-heads: Aston Villa 1 win, Nottingham Forest 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Aston Villa 0.9 xG, Nottingham Forest 0.8 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 77%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Aston Villa 43%, draw 23%, Nottingham Forest 34%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 2.05.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (51%, odds 2.05 – longer than our fair 1.97, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aston Villa 0–0 Nottingham Forest. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Aston Villa43%fair 2.31 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.25
Nottingham Forest34%fair 2.95 · @3.10
1.67Expected goals
0.92Aston Villa xG
0.75Nottingham Forest xG
49%Both score
23%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–019%
1–017%
0–114%
1–113%
2–08%
2–16%

From our goals model: Aston Villa 0.9 – 0.8 Nottingham Forest expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAston Villa to win ✗43%2.312.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.33
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.972.05
Draw no betAston Villa (draw no bet) ✗56%1.78–
Asian handicapNottingham Forest +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗50%1.99–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗77%1.31–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓97%1.03–
First team to scoreAston Villa to score first45%2.24–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓55%1.83–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗26%3.80–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17%5.78–

Recent results

Aston Villa – last 6

WDLLLL
8 Sep@ Club Brugge KV3–2W
5 Sep@ Hull City0–0D
31 Augvs Arsenal0–1L
23 Aug@ Brighton0–4L
15 Aug@ Borussia Mönchengladbach1–2L
12 Aug@ Paris Saint Germain1–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Nottingham Forest – last 6

DDLLWW
5 Sepvs Tottenham0–0D
29 Aug@ Liverpool2–2D
25 Augvs Leeds0–2L
22 Augvs Leeds0–1L
16 Augvs Stade Brestois 292–0W
12 Augvs Bayer Leverkusen2–1W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

7 May 2026Aston Villa v Nottingham Forest4–0
30 Apr 2026Nottingham Forest v Aston Villa1–0
Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Arsenal10901+1027
2Brighton10712+1922
3Manchester City10703+821
4Liverpool10532+418
5Chelsea10514+316
6Everton10442+216
7Bournemouth10433+215
8Brentford10352+514
9Leeds10352+214
10Aston Villa10343-313
11Tottenham10334-112
12Newcastle10334-312
13Hull City10253011
14Ipswich10325-511
15Fulham10244-210
16Nottingham Forest10235-49
17Coventry10307-99
18Manchester United10154-58
19Sunderland10226-98
20Crystal Palace10217-147

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.

Who will win Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest?

On our numbers Aston Villa have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Nottingham Forest 34%.

How many goals will there be in Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest?

We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 23% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest?

Our predicted score is Aston Villa 0–0 Nottingham Forest, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.

When is Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest?

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Villa Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.