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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bournemouth v Brentford: numbers & prediction

Premier League · England · Vitality Stadium
2–2
FT
Bournemouth 34%Draw 22%Brentford 45% Expected goals 1.22 – 1.45
63%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2

Value bet: Brentford to win @ 2.62 – our chance 45% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultBrentford to win ✗45% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.25

Bournemouth vs Brentford: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 12 September the Premier League brings Bournemouth against Brentford at Vitality Stadium. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Bournemouth are 7th, upper half, on 15 points after 10 matches; Brentford are 8th (upper half) with 14. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Bournemouth, last 5: WDDLL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Lincoln, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Brentford, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sunderland, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.7 goals per game.

Momentum favours Brentford, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for Bournemouth.

Head to head

When they last met (3 Mar 2026) it ended Bournemouth 0–0 Brentford.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bournemouth 1.2 xG, Brentford 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bournemouth 34%, draw 22%, Brentford 45%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.50.
  • Price worth noting: Brentford to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 45%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bournemouth 1–1 Brentford. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bournemouth34%fair 2.96 · @2.50
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.40
Brentford45%fair 2.24 · @2.62
2.67Expected goals
1.22Bournemouth xG
1.45Brentford xG
63%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–17%
0–27%

From our goals model: Bournemouth 1.2 – 1.5 Brentford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBrentford to win ✗45%2.242.62 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78%1.281.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.591.50
Draw no betBrentford (draw no bet)57%1.76–
Asian handicapBournemouth +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗50%2.00–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.39–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreBrentford to score first51%1.98–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Brentford / FT Brentford ✗25%4.00–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.25–

Recent results

Bournemouth – last 6

WDDLLD
8 Sepvs Lincoln4–0W
5 Sep@ Newcastle2–2D
29 Augvs Everton1–1D
23 Aug@ Manchester City1–2L
15 Aug@ FSV Mainz 051–2L
8 Aug@ Real Betis2–2D
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Brentford – last 6

DDWWWW
5 Sepvs Sunderland1–1D
30 Aug@ Leeds1–1D
25 Aug@ Birmingham6–1W
22 Augvs Tottenham3–0W
15 Augvs Eintracht Frankfurt7–0W
8 Aug@ Rennes4–2W
3.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Mar 2026Bournemouth v Brentford0–0
Bournemouth vs Brentford head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Arsenal10901+1027
2Brighton10712+1922
3Manchester City10703+821
4Liverpool10532+418
5Chelsea10514+316
6Everton10442+216
7Bournemouth10433+215
8Brentford10352+514
9Leeds10352+214
10Aston Villa10343-313
11Tottenham10334-112
12Newcastle10334-312
13Hull City10253011
14Ipswich10325-511
15Fulham10244-210
16Nottingham Forest10235-49
17Coventry10307-99
18Manchester United10154-58
19Sunderland10226-98
20Crystal Palace10217-147

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bournemouth vs Brentford?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Bournemouth vs Brentford?

On our numbers Bournemouth have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Brentford 45%.

How many goals will there be in Bournemouth vs Brentford?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bournemouth vs Brentford?

Our predicted score is Bournemouth 1–1 Brentford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Bournemouth vs Brentford?

Bournemouth vs Brentford (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Vitality Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.