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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Chelsea v Hull City: numbers & prediction

Premier League · England · Stamford Bridge

Chelsea

WLWWW
2–2
FT
Chelsea 70%Draw 21%Hull City 9% Expected goals 2.25 – 0.75
70%
Betarazi pick

Chelsea to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultChelsea to win ✗70% · @1.25
Double chanceChelsea or draw ✓91% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.56

Chelsea vs Hull City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 12 September: Chelsea v Hull City in the Premier League, played at Stamford Bridge. In the table, Chelsea are 5th, upper half, on 16 points after 10 matches; Hull City are 13th (lower half) with 11.

Current form

Chelsea, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 6–3 win over Leeds, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 3.2 a game lately.

Hull City, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sunderland, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Chelsea, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.5 for Hull City.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Feb 2026) it ended Hull City 0–4 Chelsea.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chelsea 2.2 xG, Hull City 0.8 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 57% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Chelsea 70%, draw 21%, Hull City 9%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Chelsea to win (70%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chelsea 2–0 Hull City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chelsea70%fair 1.44 · @1.25
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @5.80
Hull City9%fair 10.70 · @11.00
3.00Expected goals
2.25Chelsea xG
0.75Hull City xG
57%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–013%
1–011%
2–19%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%

From our goals model: Chelsea 2.2 – 0.8 Hull City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChelsea to win ✗70%1.441.25
Double chanceChelsea or draw ✓91%1.101.05
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.761.80
Draw no betChelsea (draw no bet)88%1.13–
Asian handicapChelsea -1 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.73–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗65%1.55–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.23–
First team to scoreChelsea to score first71%1.41–
Half-time resultChelsea ahead at half-time ✗52%1.94–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chelsea / FT Chelsea ✗47%2.11–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.56–

Recent results

Chelsea – last 6

WLWWWW
9 Sepvs Leeds6–3W
6 Sep@ Arsenal1–2L
30 Augvs Brighton4–3W
27 Augvs Luton2–0W
24 Aug@ Fulham3–2W
15 Augvs Real Sociedad3–1W
3.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Hull City – last 6

LDWDWD
8 Sep@ Sunderland0–1L
5 Sepvs Aston Villa0–0D
29 Aug@ Coventry1–0W
25 Aug@ Stoke City1–1D
22 Augvs Manchester United2–0W
15 Augvs Nice0–0D
0.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Feb 2026Hull City v Chelsea0–4
Chelsea vs Hull City head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Arsenal10901+1027
2Brighton10712+1922
3Manchester City10703+821
4Liverpool10532+418
5Chelsea10514+316
6Everton10442+216
7Bournemouth10433+215
8Brentford10352+514
9Leeds10352+214
10Aston Villa10343-313
11Tottenham10334-112
12Newcastle10334-312
13Hull City10253011
14Ipswich10325-511
15Fulham10244-210
16Nottingham Forest10235-49
17Coventry10307-99
18Manchester United10154-58
19Sunderland10226-98
20Crystal Palace10217-147

More Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chelsea vs Hull City?

Our pick is Chelsea to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Chelsea vs Hull City?

On our numbers Chelsea have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Hull City 9%.

How many goals will there be in Chelsea vs Hull City?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chelsea vs Hull City?

Our predicted score is Chelsea 2–0 Hull City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Chelsea vs Hull City?

Chelsea vs Hull City (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stamford Bridge.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.