Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultArsenal to win ✓65% · @1.44
Double chanceArsenal or draw ✓89% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗19% · fair 5.30
Sunderland vs Arsenal: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Arsenal travel to face Sunderland on Saturday 12 September in the Premier League, with Stadium of Light the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Sunderland are 19th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 10 matches; Arsenal are 1st (leading the league) with 27. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sunderland, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Hull City, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Arsenal, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Napoli, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Arsenal, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.2 for Sunderland.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sunderland 0.5 xG, Arsenal 1.7 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sunderland 11%, draw 23%, Arsenal 65%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Arsenal to win (65%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sunderland 0–1 Arsenal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sunderland11%fair 8.89 · @6.50
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @4.00
Arsenal65%fair 1.53 · @1.44
2.17Expected goals
0.52Sunderland xG
1.65Arsenal xG
48%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–119%
0–216%
0–011%
1–110%
0–39%
1–28%
From our goals model: Sunderland 0.5 – 1.7 Arsenal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arsenal to win✓
65%
1.53
1.44
Double chance
Arsenal or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.67
Draw no bet
Arsenal (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.17
–
Asian handicap
Arsenal -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Arsenal to score first✓
67%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arsenal / FT Arsenal✗
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
19%
5.30
–
Recent results
Sunderland – last 6
WDWLWW
8 Sep
vs Hull City
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Brentford
1–1
D
30 Aug
vs Fulham
1–0
W
22 Aug
@ Ipswich
1–2
L
15 Aug
vs Rennes
2–1
W
8 Aug
@ Lens
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Arsenal – last 6
WWWWWD
9 Sep
@ Napoli
1–0
W
6 Sep
vs Chelsea
2–1
W
31 Aug
@ Aston Villa
1–0
W
21 Aug
vs Coventry
3–0
W
16 Aug
vs Manchester City
3–0
W
12 Aug
vs Como
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sunderland and Arsenal.
Our pick is Arsenal to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Sunderland vs Arsenal?
On our numbers Sunderland have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Arsenal 65%.
How many goals will there be in Sunderland vs Arsenal?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Arsenal?
Our predicted score is Sunderland 0–1 Arsenal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Sunderland vs Arsenal?
Sunderland vs Arsenal (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadium of Light.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
