Aston Villa 33%Draw 22%Brentford 44%Expected goals 1.23 – 1.47
61%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
2
Value bet: Brentford to win @ 2.50 – our chance 44% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBrentford to win ✗44% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.22
Aston Villa vs Brentford: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Brentford travel to face Aston Villa on Saturday 10 October in the Premier League, with Villa Park the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Aston Villa are 10th, upper half, on 13 points after 10 matches; Brentford are 8th (upper half) with 14. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Aston Villa, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Sevilla, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Brentford, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Chelsea, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aston Villa 1.2 xG, Brentford 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aston Villa 33%, draw 22%, Brentford 44%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Brentford to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aston Villa 1–1 Brentford. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aston Villa33%fair 2.99 · @2.62
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.30
Brentford44%fair 2.27 · @2.50
2.70Expected goals
1.23Aston Villa xG
1.47Brentford xG
61%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Aston Villa 1.2 – 1.5 Brentford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Brentford to win✗
44%
2.27
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.55
Draw no bet
Brentford (draw no bet)
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Aston Villa +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Brentford to score first
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Brentford / FT Brentford✗
25%
3.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.22
–
Recent results
Aston Villa – last 6
WWWLWD
2 Oct
@ Sevilla
3–1
W
19 Sep
@ Tottenham
3–2
W
16 Sep
@ Coventry
3–1
W
12 Sep
vs Nottingham Forest
1–2
L
8 Sep
@ Club Brugge KV
3–2
W
5 Sep
@ Hull City
0–0
D
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Brentford – last 6
WWDDDW
18 Sep
vs Chelsea
3–0
W
15 Sep
@ Reading
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Bournemouth
2–2
D
5 Sep
vs Sunderland
1–1
D
30 Aug
@ Leeds
1–1
D
25 Aug
@ Birmingham
6–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aston Villa and Brentford.
What is the prediction for Aston Villa vs Brentford?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Aston Villa vs Brentford?
On our numbers Aston Villa have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Brentford 44%.
How many goals will there be in Aston Villa vs Brentford?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aston Villa vs Brentford?
Our predicted score is Aston Villa 1–1 Brentford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Aston Villa vs Brentford?
Aston Villa vs Brentford (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Villa Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
