Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
2
Value bet: Brighton to win @ 2.25 – our chance 50% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBrighton to win ✓50% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.67
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗71% · fair 1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.35
Sunderland vs Brighton: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Brighton travel to face Sunderland on Saturday 10 October in the Premier League, with Stadium of Light the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Sunderland are 19th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 10 matches; Brighton are 2nd (among the top four) with 22. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sunderland, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 3–5 defeat to Manchester City, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Brighton, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Arsenal, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sunderland 1.6 xG, Brighton 2.1 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 71% and GG at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sunderland 28%, draw 23%, Brighton 50%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Brighton to win @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.51, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sunderland 1–2 Brighton. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sunderland28%fair 3.62 · @3.00
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.30
Brighton50%fair 2.01 · @2.25
3.70Expected goals
1.57Sunderland xG
2.13Brighton xG
66%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–18%
2–27%
2–16%
1–36%
0–26%
From our goals model: Sunderland 1.6 – 2.1 Brighton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Brighton to win✓
50%
2.01
2.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.51
1.67 ▲
Draw no bet
Brighton (draw no bet)✓
64%
1.55
–
Asian handicap
Sunderland +1 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.98
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
First team to score
Brighton to score first✓
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Brighton ahead at half-time✗
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Brighton / FT Brighton✗
32%
3.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.35
–
Recent results
Sunderland – last 6
LWLWDW
20 Sep
@ Manchester City
3–5
L
16 Sep
vs AZ Alkmaar
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs Arsenal
0–2
L
8 Sep
vs Hull City
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Brentford
1–1
D
30 Aug
vs Fulham
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Brighton – last 6
WWWDLW
19 Sep
vs Arsenal
3–0
W
16 Sep
@ Manchester United
3–2
W
13 Sep
@ Coventry
5–0
W
5 Sep
vs Leeds
1–1
D
30 Aug
@ Chelsea
3–4
L
27 Aug
vs Tromso
4–0
W
3.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sunderland and Brighton.
What is the prediction for Sunderland vs Brighton?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Sunderland vs Brighton?
On our numbers Sunderland have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Brighton 50%.
How many goals will there be in Sunderland vs Brighton?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Brighton?
Our predicted score is Sunderland 1–2 Brighton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Sunderland vs Brighton?
Sunderland vs Brighton (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadium of Light.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
