Value bet: Akhmat to win @ 1.90 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAkhmat to win ✗57% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.54
Akhmat vs Krylia Sovetov: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Saturday 29 August: Akhmat v Krylia Sovetov in the Premier League, played at Akhmat-Arena. In the table, Akhmat are 12th, lower half, on 14 points after 14 matches; Krylia Sovetov are 7th (upper half) with 18.
Current form
Akhmat, last 5: WWLDD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over FC Rostov, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Krylia Sovetov, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Akron, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Akhmat 1.6 xG, Krylia Sovetov 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Akhmat 57%, draw 20%, Krylia Sovetov 22%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Akhmat to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.31). Most likely score in line with that pick: Akhmat 1–0 Krylia Sovetov. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Akhmat57%fair 1.74 · @1.90
Draw20%fair 4.88 · @3.70
Krylia Sovetov22%fair 4.53 · @4.10
2.50Expected goals
1.63Akhmat xG
0.87Krylia Sovetov xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Akhmat 1.6 – 0.9 Krylia Sovetov expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Akhmat to win✗
57%
1.74
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.26
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.73
Draw no bet
Akhmat (draw no bet)
72%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Krylia Sovetov +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.24
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.31
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
1.08
First team to score
Akhmat to score first
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Akhmat / FT Akhmat✗
34%
2.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.54
–
Recent results
Akhmat – last 6
WWLDDL
22 Aug
vs FC Rostov
4–1
W
18 Aug
vs Fakel
2–1
W
15 Aug
@ FC Krasnodar
0–1
L
10 Aug
@ Fakel
0–0
D
5 Aug
@ FC Krasnodar
1–1
D
2 Aug
vs Spartak Moscow
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Krylia Sovetov – last 6
WDLLWD
23 Aug
@ Akron
3–0
W
19 Aug
vs Zenit
0–0
D
16 Aug
vs Dinamo Makhachkala
1–4
L
8 Aug
vs Baltika
0–2
L
4 Aug
@ Dinamo Makhachkala
2–1
W
1 Aug
@ CSKA Moscow
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Akhmat and Krylia Sovetov.
What is the prediction for Akhmat vs Krylia Sovetov?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.31.
Who will win Akhmat vs Krylia Sovetov?
On our numbers Akhmat have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Krylia Sovetov 22%.
How many goals will there be in Akhmat vs Krylia Sovetov?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Akhmat vs Krylia Sovetov?
Our predicted score is Akhmat 1–0 Krylia Sovetov, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Akhmat vs Krylia Sovetov?
Akhmat vs Krylia Sovetov (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Akhmat-Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
