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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FC Krasnodar v FC Rostov: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Russia · Ozon Arena
1–0
FT
FC Krasnodar 66%Draw 22%FC Rostov 12% Expected goals 2.06 – 0.77
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.27 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.27Odds
1

Value bet: FC Krasnodar to win @ 1.64 – our chance 66% vs 61% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultFC Krasnodar to win ✓66% · @1.64
Double chanceFC Krasnodar or draw ✓88% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.81
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗9% · fair 11.59

FC Krasnodar vs FC Rostov: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

FC Rostov travel to face FC Krasnodar on Saturday 29 August in the Premier League, with Ozon Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 15:30 WAT. In the table, FC Krasnodar are 4th, among the top four, on 26 points after 14 matches; FC Rostov are 6th (upper half) with 19.

Current form

FC Krasnodar, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Dinamo Makhachkala, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

FC Rostov, last 5: LWDDW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Akhmat, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours FC Krasnodar, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.8 for FC Rostov.

Head to head

When they last met (11 Jul 2026) it ended FC Krasnodar 3–3 FC Rostov. The last 2 head-to-heads: FC Krasnodar 1 win, FC Rostov 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 4.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Krasnodar 2.1 xG, FC Rostov 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 46%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FC Krasnodar 66%, draw 22%, FC Rostov 12%.
  • Lower-risk option: FC Krasnodar or draw (88%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.81.
  • Price worth noting: FC Krasnodar to win @1.64 – the bookmaker implies 61%, our ratings say 66%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.27). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Krasnodar 2–0 FC Rostov. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Krasnodar66%fair 1.50 · @1.64
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @4.05
FC Rostov12%fair 8.44 · @5.40
2.82Expected goals
2.06FC Krasnodar xG
0.77FC Rostov xG
46%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%

From our goals model: FC Krasnodar 2.1 – 0.8 FC Rostov expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Krasnodar to win ✓66%1.501.64 ▲
Double chanceFC Krasnodar or draw ✓88%1.131.17
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓54%1.861.81
Draw no betFC Krasnodar (draw no bet) ✓85%1.18–
Asian handicapFC Krasnodar -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75%1.341.27
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.941.93
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.431.29
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.181.07
First team to scoreFC Krasnodar to score first ✓69%1.46–
Half-time resultFC Krasnodar ahead at half-time ✓48%2.07–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Krasnodar / FT FC Krasnodar ✓44%2.28–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗9%11.59–

Recent results

FC Krasnodar – last 6

WWWWDW
23 Aug@ Dinamo Makhachkala1–0W
19 Aug@ Dynamo1–0W
15 Augvs Akhmat1–0W
9 Aug@ Spartak Moscow2–1W
5 Augvs Akhmat1–1D
2 Augvs Fakel3–2W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

FC Rostov – last 6

LWDDWW
22 Aug@ Akhmat1–4L
18 Augvs Lokomotiv1–0W
15 Augvs Rubin1–1D
8 Aug@ CSKA Moscow0–0D
4 Aug@ Akron4–0W
31 Jul@ Rodina Moskva4–2W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Jul 2026FC Krasnodar v FC Rostov3–3
28 Feb 2026FC Krasnodar v FC Rostov2–1
FC Krasnodar vs FC Rostov head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Zenit141013+1731
2Dynamo141013+1031
3Spartak Moscow14923+1629
4FC Krasnodar14752+726
5CSKA Moscow14752+726
6FC Rostov14545-119
7Krylia Sovetov14464-118
8Rubin14464-418
9Baltika14455+217
10FC Orenburg14383017
11Dinamo Makhachkala14518-916
12Akhmat14356-314
13Rodina Moskva14338-1412
14Akron14266-812
15Lokomotiv14257-511
16Fakel141310-146

More Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Krasnodar vs FC Rostov?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.

Who will win FC Krasnodar vs FC Rostov?

On our numbers FC Krasnodar have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FC Rostov 12%.

How many goals will there be in FC Krasnodar vs FC Rostov?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Krasnodar vs FC Rostov?

Our predicted score is FC Krasnodar 2–0 FC Rostov, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is FC Krasnodar vs FC Rostov?

FC Krasnodar vs FC Rostov (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Ozon Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.