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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lokomotiv v Dynamo: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Russia · RZD Arena
0–1
FT

Dynamo

WLLWW
Lokomotiv 36%Draw 21%Dynamo 43% Expected goals 1.33 – 1.50
65%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.48Odds
1

Value bet: Lokomotiv to win @ 3.14 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultDynamo to win ✓43% · @2.19
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.51
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.33

Lokomotiv vs Dynamo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Lokomotiv welcome Dynamo to RZD Arena for a Premier League fixture on Saturday 29 August (18:00 WAT). In the table, Lokomotiv are 15th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 14 matches; Dynamo are 2nd (among the top four) with 31. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Lokomotiv, last 5: LLDDD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to CSKA Moscow, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Dynamo, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Rodina Moskva, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Dynamo, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for Lokomotiv.

Head to head

When they last met (1 May 2026) it ended Lokomotiv 1–1 Dynamo.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lokomotiv 1.3 xG, Dynamo 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lokomotiv 36%, draw 21%, Dynamo 43%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.51.
  • Price worth noting: Lokomotiv to win @3.14 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 36%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (65%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lokomotiv 1–1 Dynamo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lokomotiv36%fair 2.80 · @3.14
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.75
Dynamo43%fair 2.31 · @2.19
2.82Expected goals
1.33Lokomotiv xG
1.50Dynamo xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%

From our goals model: Lokomotiv 1.3 – 1.5 Dynamo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDynamo to win ✓43%2.312.19
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.671.51
Draw no betDynamo (draw no bet) ✓55%1.82–
Asian handicapLokomotiv +1 (Asian handicap)74%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78%1.281.16
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗56%1.781.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.531.48
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.231.16
First team to scoreDynamo to score first ✓50%2.01–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.43–
Half-time / full-timeHT Dynamo / FT Dynamo ✗24%4.10–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.33–

Recent results

Lokomotiv – last 6

LLDDDL
22 Aug@ CSKA Moscow2–3L
18 Aug@ FC Rostov0–1L
14 Aug@ FC Orenburg1–1D
8 Augvs Akron0–0D
4 Augvs CSKA Moscow1–1D
1 Aug@ Dinamo Makhachkala1–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Dynamo – last 6

WLLWWL
23 Augvs Rodina Moskva3–1W
19 Augvs FC Krasnodar0–1L
16 Aug@ Zenit0–3L
9 Augvs Dinamo Makhachkala3–1W
5 Aug@ Fakel1–0W
1 Aug@ Baltika1–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 May 2026Lokomotiv v Dynamo1–1
Lokomotiv vs Dynamo head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Zenit141013+1731
2Dynamo141013+1031
3Spartak Moscow14923+1629
4FC Krasnodar14752+726
5CSKA Moscow14752+726
6FC Rostov14545-119
7Krylia Sovetov14464-118
8Rubin14464-418
9Baltika14455+217
10FC Orenburg14383017
11Dinamo Makhachkala14518-916
12Akhmat14356-314
13Rodina Moskva14338-1412
14Akron14266-812
15Lokomotiv14257-511
16Fakel141310-146

More Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lokomotiv vs Dynamo?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win Lokomotiv vs Dynamo?

On our numbers Lokomotiv have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Dynamo 43%.

How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv vs Dynamo?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv vs Dynamo?

Our predicted score is Lokomotiv 1–1 Dynamo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Lokomotiv vs Dynamo?

Lokomotiv vs Dynamo (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at RZD Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.