Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.07 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultZenit to win ✓69% · @1.53
Double chanceZenit or draw ✓91% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.07
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.42
Fakel vs Zenit: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Saturday 29 August: Fakel v Zenit in the Premier League, played at Fakel Stadium. In the table, Fakel are 16th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 14 matches; Zenit are 1st (leading the league) with 31. There are 25 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Fakel, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with FC Orenburg, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Zenit, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Spartak Moscow, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Zenit, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.3 for Fakel.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fakel 0.6 xG, Zenit 2.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fakel 9%, draw 21%, Zenit 69%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.07.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.07 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fakel 0–1 Zenit. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fakel9%fair 10.99 · @6.80
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @4.15
Zenit69%fair 1.44 · @1.53
2.53Expected goals
0.58Fakel xG
1.96Zenit xG
51%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–116%
0–215%
0–310%
1–19%
1–29%
0–08%
From our goals model: Fakel 0.6 – 2.0 Zenit expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zenit to win✓
69%
1.44
1.53 ▲
Double chance
Zenit or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.94
2.07 ▲
Draw no bet
Zenit (draw no bet)✓
88%
1.13
–
Asian handicap
Zenit -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.81
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.04
First team to score
Zenit to score first✓
71%
1.41
–
Half-time result
Zenit ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zenit / FT Zenit✗
46%
2.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.42
–
Recent results
Fakel – last 6
DLLDLL
22 Aug
vs FC Orenburg
0–0
D
18 Aug
@ Akhmat
1–2
L
15 Aug
@ CSKA Moscow
0–1
L
10 Aug
vs Akhmat
0–0
D
5 Aug
vs Dynamo
0–1
L
2 Aug
@ FC Krasnodar
2–3
L
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Zenit – last 6
LDWLWW
23 Aug
@ Spartak Moscow
0–2
L
19 Aug
@ Krylia Sovetov
0–0
D
16 Aug
vs Dynamo
3–0
W
9 Aug
vs Rodina Moskva
1–2
L
5 Aug
vs Baltika
1–0
W
2 Aug
@ FC Orenburg
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fakel and Zenit.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Fakel vs Zenit?
On our numbers Fakel have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Zenit 69%.
How many goals will there be in Fakel vs Zenit?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fakel vs Zenit?
Our predicted score is Fakel 0–1 Zenit, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Fakel vs Zenit?
Fakel vs Zenit (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Fakel Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
