Baltika 18%Draw 20%Zenit 62%Expected goals 0.79 – 1.75
82%
Betarazi pick
Zenit or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Zenit to win @ 1.91 – our chance 62% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultZenit to win ✓62% · @1.91
Double chanceZenit or draw ✓82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.04
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.50
Baltika vs Zenit: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Baltika welcome Zenit to Rostec Arena for a Premier League fixture on Wednesday 16 September (18:45 WAT). In the table, Baltika are 9th, lower half, on 17 points after 14 matches; Zenit are 1st (leading the league) with 31. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Baltika, last 5: DLDWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Fakel, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Zenit, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Lokomotiv, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Zenit, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Baltika.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Aug 2026) it ended Zenit 1–0 Baltika. The last 3 head-to-heads: Baltika 0 wins, Zenit 3, draws 0. Those games averaged 1.0 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Baltika 0.8 xG, Zenit 1.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Baltika 18%, draw 20%, Zenit 62%.
Lower-risk option: Zenit or draw (82%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.04.
Price worth noting: Zenit to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Zenit or draw (82%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.22, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Baltika 0–1 Zenit. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Baltika18%fair 5.60 · @4.25
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @3.54
Zenit62%fair 1.62 · @1.91
2.53Expected goals
0.79Baltika xG
1.75Zenit xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–210%
0–08%
0–37%
From our goals model: Baltika 0.8 – 1.7 Zenit expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Zenit or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Baltika vs Zenit?
On our numbers Baltika have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Zenit 62%.
How many goals will there be in Baltika vs Zenit?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Baltika vs Zenit?
Our predicted score is Baltika 0–1 Zenit, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Baltika vs Zenit?
Baltika vs Zenit (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Rostec Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
