Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.71
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Spartak Moscow vs Fakel: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:30 WAT, Wednesday 16 September: Spartak Moscow v Fakel in the Premier League, played at Lukoil Arena. In the table, Spartak Moscow are 3rd, among the top four, on 29 points after 14 matches; Fakel are 16th (in the drop zone) with 6. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Spartak Moscow, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over FC Rostov, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Fakel, last 5: DLDLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Baltika, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Spartak Moscow, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.5 for Fakel.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Spartak Moscow 2.1 xG, Fakel 0.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Spartak Moscow 72%, draw 18%, Fakel 11%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.71.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Spartak Moscow to win (72%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spartak Moscow 2–0 Fakel. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Spartak Moscow72%fair 1.40 · @1.35
Draw18%fair 5.64 · @5.15
Fakel11%fair 9.39 · @9.40
2.71Expected goals
2.08Spartak Moscow xG
0.63Fakel xG
50%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–014%
1–014%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Spartak Moscow 2.1 – 0.6 Fakel expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spartak Moscow to win✓
72%
1.40
1.35
Double chance
Spartak Moscow or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.07
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.71
Draw no bet
Spartak Moscow (draw no bet)✓
87%
1.15
–
Asian handicap
Spartak Moscow -1 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.19
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.13
First team to score
Spartak Moscow to score first✓
72%
1.40
–
Half-time result
Spartak Moscow ahead at half-time✗
50%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spartak Moscow / FT Spartak Moscow✗
47%
2.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
10%
10.07
–
Recent results
Spartak Moscow – last 6
WLWDWD
13 Sep
vs FC Rostov
3–0
W
6 Sep
@ Dynamo
1–2
L
2 Sep
vs Rodina Moskva
3–1
W
30 Aug
vs FC Orenburg
1–1
D
23 Aug
vs Zenit
2–0
W
19 Aug
@ Rubin
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Fakel – last 6
DLDLDL
12 Sep
vs Baltika
2–2
D
5 Sep
@ FC Rostov
1–3
L
1 Sep
vs FC Krasnodar
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Zenit
0–1
L
22 Aug
vs FC Orenburg
0–0
D
18 Aug
@ Akhmat
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spartak Moscow and Fakel.
What is the prediction for Spartak Moscow vs Fakel?
Our pick is Spartak Moscow to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Spartak Moscow vs Fakel?
On our numbers Spartak Moscow have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Fakel 11%.
How many goals will there be in Spartak Moscow vs Fakel?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spartak Moscow vs Fakel?
Our predicted score is Spartak Moscow 2–0 Fakel, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Spartak Moscow vs Fakel?
Spartak Moscow vs Fakel (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Lukoil Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
