Rodina Moskva vs Rubin: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 16 September the Premier League brings Rodina Moskva against Rubin at Arena Khimki. Kick-off: 16:30 WAT. In the table, Rodina Moskva are 13th, lower half, on 12 points after 14 matches; Rubin are 8th (upper half) with 18.
Current form
Rodina Moskva, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Krylia Sovetov, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Rubin, last 5: DDDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with CSKA Moscow, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Rubin, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.0 for Rodina Moskva.
Head to head
When they last met (4 Aug 2026) it ended Rodina Moskva 5–0 Rubin.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rodina Moskva 1.3 xG, Rubin 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rodina Moskva 33%, draw 23%, Rubin 44%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.81.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.32). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rodina Moskva 1–1 Rubin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rodina Moskva33%fair 3.02 · @3.12
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.26
Rubin44%fair 2.28 · @2.41
2.83Expected goals
1.30Rodina Moskva xG
1.53Rubin xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Rodina Moskva 1.3 – 1.5 Rubin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Rodina Moskva vs Rubin?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.
Who will win Rodina Moskva vs Rubin?
On our numbers Rodina Moskva have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Rubin 44%.
How many goals will there be in Rodina Moskva vs Rubin?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rodina Moskva vs Rubin?
Our predicted score is Rodina Moskva 1–1 Rubin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Rodina Moskva vs Rubin?
Rodina Moskva vs Rubin (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Khimki.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.