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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Rodina Moskva v Rubin: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Russia · Arena Khimki
1–1
FT

Rubin

DDDWD
Rodina Moskva 33%Draw 23%Rubin 44% Expected goals 1.30 – 1.53
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.32 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.32Odds

Picks by market

ResultRubin to win ✗44% · @2.41
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.81
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.11

Rodina Moskva vs Rubin: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 16 September the Premier League brings Rodina Moskva against Rubin at Arena Khimki. Kick-off: 16:30 WAT. In the table, Rodina Moskva are 13th, lower half, on 12 points after 14 matches; Rubin are 8th (upper half) with 18.

Current form

Rodina Moskva, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Krylia Sovetov, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Rubin, last 5: DDDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with CSKA Moscow, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Rubin, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.0 for Rodina Moskva.

Head to head

When they last met (4 Aug 2026) it ended Rodina Moskva 5–0 Rubin.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Rodina Moskva 1.3 xG, Rubin 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Rodina Moskva 33%, draw 23%, Rubin 44%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.81.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.32). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rodina Moskva 1–1 Rubin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Rodina Moskva33%fair 3.02 · @3.12
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.26
Rubin44%fair 2.28 · @2.41
2.83Expected goals
1.30Rodina Moskva xG
1.53Rubin xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%

From our goals model: Rodina Moskva 1.3 – 1.5 Rubin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRubin to win ✗44%2.282.41 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.301.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.801.81
Draw no betRubin (draw no bet)57%1.76–
Asian handicapRodina Moskva +1 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.361.32
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.981.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.391.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.161.03
First team to scoreRubin to score first51%1.96–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.44–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rubin / FT Rubin ✗25%3.93–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.11–

Recent results

Rodina Moskva – last 6

LLLLLL
11 Sep@ Krylia Sovetov1–2L
6 Sep@ Dinamo Makhachkala0–2L
2 Sep@ Spartak Moscow1–3L
30 Augvs Baltika0–3L
23 Aug@ Dynamo1–3L
18 Augvs FC Orenburg1–4L
0.7Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Rubin – last 6

DDDWDD
12 Sep@ CSKA Moscow1–1D
7 Sepvs Akhmat1–1D
2 Sep@ FC Orenburg1–1D
30 Augvs Dinamo Makhachkala3–1W
24 Aug@ Baltika1–1D
19 Augvs Spartak Moscow1–1D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 Aug 2026Rodina Moskva v Rubin5–0
Rodina Moskva vs Rubin head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Zenit141013+1731
2Dynamo141013+1031
3Spartak Moscow14923+1629
4FC Krasnodar14752+726
5CSKA Moscow14752+726
6FC Rostov14545-119
7Krylia Sovetov14464-118
8Rubin14464-418
9Baltika14455+217
10FC Orenburg14383017
11Dinamo Makhachkala14518-916
12Akhmat14356-314
13Rodina Moskva14338-1412
14Akron14266-812
15Lokomotiv14257-511
16Fakel141310-146

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rodina Moskva vs Rubin?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.

Who will win Rodina Moskva vs Rubin?

On our numbers Rodina Moskva have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Rubin 44%.

How many goals will there be in Rodina Moskva vs Rubin?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Rodina Moskva vs Rubin?

Our predicted score is Rodina Moskva 1–1 Rubin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Rodina Moskva vs Rubin?

Rodina Moskva vs Rubin (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Khimki.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.