Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.27 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.27Odds
1
Value bet: Lokomotiv to win @ 1.88 – our chance 64% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLokomotiv to win ✗64% · @1.88
Double chanceLokomotiv or draw ✓85% · @1.27
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.66
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.31
Lokomotiv vs Krylia Sovetov: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:45 WAT, Wednesday 16 September: Lokomotiv v Krylia Sovetov in the Premier League, played at RZD Arena. In the table, Lokomotiv are 15th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 14 matches; Krylia Sovetov are 7th (upper half) with 18.
Current form
Lokomotiv, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Zenit, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Krylia Sovetov, last 5: WDDDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Rodina Moskva, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Krylia Sovetov, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Lokomotiv.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lokomotiv 1.9 xG, Krylia Sovetov 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lokomotiv 64%, draw 21%, Krylia Sovetov 15%.
Lower-risk option: Lokomotiv or draw (85%) at 1.27.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.66.
Price worth noting: Lokomotiv to win @1.88 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Lokomotiv or draw (85%, odds 1.27 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lokomotiv 1–0 Krylia Sovetov. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lokomotiv64%fair 1.56 · @1.88
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @3.85
Krylia Sovetov15%fair 6.83 · @4.00
2.72Expected goals
1.93Lokomotiv xG
0.79Krylia Sovetov xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Lokomotiv 1.9 – 0.8 Krylia Sovetov expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lokomotiv to win✗
64%
1.56
1.88 ▲
Double chance
Lokomotiv or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.27 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.66
Draw no bet
Lokomotiv (draw no bet)
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Lokomotiv -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.78
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
1.09
First team to score
Lokomotiv to score first
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Lokomotiv ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lokomotiv / FT Lokomotiv✗
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.31
–
Recent results
Lokomotiv – last 6
LWDLLL
12 Sep
@ Zenit
1–2
L
6 Sep
@ Baltika
1–0
W
1 Sep
@ Akron
0–0
D
29 Aug
vs Dynamo
0–1
L
22 Aug
@ CSKA Moscow
2–3
L
18 Aug
@ FC Rostov
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Krylia Sovetov – last 6
WDDDWD
11 Sep
vs Rodina Moskva
2–1
W
5 Sep
vs FC Krasnodar
2–2
D
2 Sep
@ Baltika
0–0
D
29 Aug
@ Akhmat
3–3
D
23 Aug
@ Akron
3–0
W
19 Aug
vs Zenit
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lokomotiv and Krylia Sovetov.
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv vs Krylia Sovetov?
Our pick is Lokomotiv or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win Lokomotiv vs Krylia Sovetov?
On our numbers Lokomotiv have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Krylia Sovetov 15%.
How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv vs Krylia Sovetov?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv vs Krylia Sovetov?
Our predicted score is Lokomotiv 1–0 Krylia Sovetov, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Lokomotiv vs Krylia Sovetov?
Lokomotiv vs Krylia Sovetov (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at RZD Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
