Millwall vs Wrexham: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Wednesday 2 September: Millwall v Wrexham in the Championship, played at The Den. In the table, Millwall are 16th, lower half, on 18 points after 15 matches; Wrexham are 15th (lower half) with 18. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Millwall, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Southampton, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Wrexham, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Birmingham, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Millwall, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.3 for Wrexham.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Millwall 1.6 xG, Wrexham 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Millwall 45%, draw 23%, Wrexham 32%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Millwall 1–1 Wrexham. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Millwall45%fair 2.20 · @2.22
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.30
Wrexham32%fair 3.14 · @3.20
2.82Expected goals
1.56Millwall xG
1.26Wrexham xG
60%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: Millwall 1.6 – 1.3 Wrexham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Millwall to win✗
45%
2.20
2.22
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.73
Draw no bet
Millwall (draw no bet)✗
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
Wrexham +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.10
First team to score
Millwall to score first✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Millwall / FT Millwall✗
26%
3.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.94
–
Recent results
Millwall – last 6
LWWWDW
29 Aug
@ Southampton
1–5
L
25 Aug
@ Cambridge United
1–0
W
22 Aug
vs Norwich
3–0
W
15 Aug
@ Bristol City
2–0
W
8 Aug
@ QPR
1–1
D
1 Aug
vs Antwerp
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Wrexham – last 6
LDDLLL
28 Aug
vs Birmingham
1–2
L
22 Aug
vs Watford
1–1
D
17 Aug
@ Cardiff
1–1
D
7 Aug
@ Middlesbrough
0–1
L
2 Aug
vs Sunderland
0–1
L
30 Jul
@ Liverpool
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Millwall and Wrexham.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Millwall vs Wrexham?
On our numbers Millwall have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Wrexham 32%.
How many goals will there be in Millwall vs Wrexham?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Millwall vs Wrexham?
Our predicted score is Millwall 1–1 Wrexham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Millwall vs Wrexham?
Millwall vs Wrexham (Championship) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at The Den.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
