Value bet: QPR to win @ 1.90 – our chance 60% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultQPR to win ✓60% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.10
QPR vs Cardiff: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 2 September the Championship brings QPR against Cardiff at Loftus Road. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, QPR are 8th, upper half, on 24 points after 15 matches; Cardiff are 14th (lower half) with 18.
Current form
QPR, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Blackburn, away. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Cardiff, last 5: DLDDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Sheffield Utd, at home. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Momentum favours QPR, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.5 for Cardiff.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give QPR 1.9 xG, Cardiff 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – QPR 60%, draw 16%, Cardiff 24%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: QPR to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: QPR 1–1 Cardiff. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
QPR60%fair 1.66 · @1.90
Draw16%fair 6.19 · @3.75
Cardiff24%fair 4.21 · @3.60
2.88Expected goals
1.86QPR xG
1.03Cardiff xG
59%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: QPR 1.9 – 1.0 Cardiff expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
QPR to win✓
60%
1.66
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.60
Draw no bet
QPR (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Cardiff +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.17
First team to score
QPR to score first✓
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
QPR ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT QPR / FT QPR✓
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.10
–
Recent results
QPR – last 6
WDWDWW
29 Aug
@ Blackburn
2–1
W
22 Aug
vs Bolton
0–0
D
15 Aug
@ Portsmouth
3–1
W
8 Aug
vs Millwall
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ AFC Wimbledon
3–2
W
31 Jul
@ Bromley
7–0
W
2.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Cardiff – last 6
DLDDWW
29 Aug
vs Sheffield Utd
2–2
D
25 Aug
vs Norwich
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Derby
2–2
D
17 Aug
vs Wrexham
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Swindon Town
3–2
W
1 Aug
vs AS Roma
4–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between QPR and Cardiff.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win QPR vs Cardiff?
On our numbers QPR have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Cardiff 24%.
How many goals will there be in QPR vs Cardiff?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for QPR vs Cardiff?
Our predicted score is QPR 1–1 Cardiff, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is QPR vs Cardiff?
QPR vs Cardiff (Championship) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Loftus Road.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
