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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

West Brom v Charlton: numbers & prediction

Championship · England · The Hawthorns
1–1
FT
West Brom 63%Draw 21%Charlton 16% Expected goals 1.91 – 0.83
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.35Odds
1

Value bet: West Brom to win @ 1.76 – our chance 63% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultWest Brom to win ✗63% · @1.76
Double chanceWest Brom or draw ✓84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.23

West Brom vs Charlton: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Charlton travel to face West Brom on Wednesday 2 September in the Championship, with The Hawthorns the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, West Brom are 5th, upper half, on 28 points after 15 matches; Charlton are 19th (lower half) with 17.

Current form

West Brom, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Middlesbrough, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.

Charlton, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Preston, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (24 Feb 2026) it ended West Brom 1–1 Charlton.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give West Brom 1.9 xG, Charlton 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – West Brom 63%, draw 21%, Charlton 16%.
  • Lower-risk option: West Brom or draw (84%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.
  • Price worth noting: West Brom to win @1.76 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 63%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: West Brom 2–0 Charlton. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

West Brom63%fair 1.59 · @1.76
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.55
Charlton16%fair 6.31 · @4.55
2.74Expected goals
1.91West Brom xG
0.83Charlton xG
54%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%

From our goals model: West Brom 1.9 – 0.8 Charlton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultWest Brom to win ✗63%1.591.76 ▲
Double chanceWest Brom or draw ✓84%1.191.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.861.95
Draw no betWest Brom (draw no bet)80%1.25–
Asian handicapWest Brom -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.371.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.941.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.371.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.161.08
First team to scoreWest Brom to score first65%1.53–
Half-time resultWest Brom ahead at half-time ✗45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT West Brom / FT West Brom ✗40%2.51–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.23–

Recent results

West Brom – last 6

LLWWWW
29 Aug@ Middlesbrough1–3L
26 Aug@ Newcastle2–3L
23 Augvs Burnley3–1W
15 Aug@ Norwich2–1W
8 Aug@ Rotherham4–1W
1 Aug@ Peterborough2–0W
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Charlton – last 6

WLWWWL
29 Augvs Preston1–0W
26 Aug@ Tottenham1–5L
22 Aug@ West Ham2–1W
15 Augvs Derby2–1W
8 Aug@ Cheltenham3–1W
1 Aug@ Reading0–3L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Feb 2026West Brom v Charlton1–1
West Brom vs Charlton head-to-head page →

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Birmingham15852+1429
2Middlesbrough15852+1129
3Stoke City15924+629
4Wolves15843+828
5West Brom15843+828
6Swansea15825+426
7Southampton15843+1424
8QPR15663+624
9West Ham15654+1423
10Sheffield Utd15645+222
11Portsmouth15645+222
12Norwich15708+821
13Blackburn15636-121
14Cardiff15465018
15Wrexham15465-218
16Millwall15537-418
17Bristol City15537-818
18Bolton15528-917
19Charlton15456-1017
20Watford15438-1015
21Lincoln15438-1115
22Burnley15177-910
23Derby15249-1610
24Preston152211-178

More Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for West Brom vs Charlton?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win West Brom vs Charlton?

On our numbers West Brom have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Charlton 16%.

How many goals will there be in West Brom vs Charlton?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for West Brom vs Charlton?

Our predicted score is West Brom 2–0 Charlton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is West Brom vs Charlton?

West Brom vs Charlton (Championship) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at The Hawthorns.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.