Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
2
Value bet: QPR to win @ 3.50 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBirmingham to win ✓46% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.14
Birmingham vs QPR: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
QPR travel to face Birmingham on Saturday 17 October in the Championship – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Birmingham are 1st, leading the league, on 29 points after 15 matches; QPR are 8th (upper half) with 24.
Current form
Birmingham, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Preston, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
QPR, last 5: WDDDD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Derby, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Birmingham, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for QPR.
Head to head
When they last met (11 Mar 2026) it ended Birmingham 1–0 QPR.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Birmingham 1.4 xG, QPR 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Birmingham 46%, draw 22%, QPR 32%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: QPR to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.66, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Birmingham 1–1 QPR. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Birmingham46%fair 2.17 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.40
QPR32%fair 3.10 · @3.50
2.60Expected goals
1.45Birmingham xG
1.15QPR xG
60%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Birmingham 1.4 – 1.2 QPR expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Birmingham vs QPR?
On our numbers Birmingham have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and QPR 32%.
How many goals will there be in Birmingham vs QPR?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Birmingham vs QPR?
Our predicted score is Birmingham 1–1 QPR, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Birmingham vs QPR?
Birmingham vs QPR (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
