Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultMillwall to win ✗65% · @1.57
Double chanceMillwall or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Millwall vs Lincoln: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lincoln travel to face Millwall on Saturday 17 October in the Championship, with The Den the venue – the ball rolls at 12:30 WAT. In the table, Millwall are 16th, lower half, on 18 points after 15 matches; Lincoln are 21st (lower half) with 15. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Millwall, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Swansea, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Lincoln, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–6 defeat to West Ham, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Millwall 2.0 xG, Lincoln 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Millwall 65%, draw 20%, Lincoln 15%.
Lower-risk option: Millwall or draw (85%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Millwall to win (65%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Millwall 1–0 Lincoln. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Millwall65%fair 1.54 · @1.57
Draw20%fair 5.08 · @4.00
Lincoln15%fair 6.48 · @5.00
2.80Expected goals
1.97Millwall xG
0.83Lincoln xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Millwall 2.0 – 0.8 Lincoln expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Millwall to win✗
65%
1.54
1.57
Double chance
Millwall or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.75
Draw no bet
Millwall (draw no bet)
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Millwall -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Millwall to score first✗
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Millwall ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Millwall / FT Millwall✗
41%
2.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.22
–
Recent results
Millwall – last 6
LWDDLL
13 Oct
vs Swansea
0–1
L
10 Oct
@ Preston
1–0
W
19 Sep
vs West Ham
2–2
D
15 Sep
@ Middlesbrough
2–2
D
12 Sep
@ Blackburn
1–3
L
8 Sep
vs Newcastle
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Lincoln – last 6
LLLWWL
14 Oct
vs West Ham
0–6
L
10 Oct
@ Sheffield Utd
0–3
L
19 Sep
vs Swansea
1–2
L
15 Sep
@ Bristol City
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ Preston
1–0
W
8 Sep
@ Bournemouth
0–4
L
0.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Millwall and Lincoln.
Our pick is Millwall to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Millwall vs Lincoln?
On our numbers Millwall have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Lincoln 15%.
How many goals will there be in Millwall vs Lincoln?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Millwall vs Lincoln?
Our predicted score is Millwall 1–0 Lincoln, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Millwall vs Lincoln?
Millwall vs Lincoln (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at The Den.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.