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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Millwall v Lincoln: numbers & prediction

Championship · England · The Den
2–2
FT

Lincoln

LLLWW
Millwall 65%Draw 20%Lincoln 15% Expected goals 1.97 – 0.83
65%
Betarazi pick

Millwall to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultMillwall to win ✗65% · @1.57
Double chanceMillwall or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.22

Millwall vs Lincoln: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Lincoln travel to face Millwall on Saturday 17 October in the Championship, with The Den the venue – the ball rolls at 12:30 WAT. In the table, Millwall are 16th, lower half, on 18 points after 15 matches; Lincoln are 21st (lower half) with 15. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Millwall, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Swansea, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Lincoln, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–6 defeat to West Ham, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Millwall 2.0 xG, Lincoln 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Millwall 65%, draw 20%, Lincoln 15%.
  • Lower-risk option: Millwall or draw (85%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Millwall to win (65%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Millwall 1–0 Lincoln. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Millwall65%fair 1.54 · @1.57
Draw20%fair 5.08 · @4.00
Lincoln15%fair 6.48 · @5.00
2.80Expected goals
1.97Millwall xG
0.83Lincoln xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%

From our goals model: Millwall 2.0 – 0.8 Lincoln expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMillwall to win ✗65%1.541.57
Double chanceMillwall or draw ✓85%1.181.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.741.75
Draw no betMillwall (draw no bet)81%1.24–
Asian handicapMillwall -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓53%1.88–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗69%1.45–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
First team to scoreMillwall to score first ✗66%1.51–
Half-time resultMillwall ahead at half-time ✗46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Millwall / FT Millwall ✗41%2.43–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.22–

Recent results

Millwall – last 6

LWDDLL
13 Octvs Swansea0–1L
10 Oct@ Preston1–0W
19 Sepvs West Ham2–2D
15 Sep@ Middlesbrough2–2D
12 Sep@ Blackburn1–3L
8 Sepvs Newcastle0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Lincoln – last 6

LLLWWL
14 Octvs West Ham0–6L
10 Oct@ Sheffield Utd0–3L
19 Sepvs Swansea1–2L
15 Sep@ Bristol City1–0W
12 Sep@ Preston1–0W
8 Sep@ Bournemouth0–4L
0.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Millwall and Lincoln.

Millwall vs Lincoln head-to-head page →

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Birmingham15852+1429
2Middlesbrough15852+1129
3Stoke City15924+629
4Wolves15843+828
5West Brom15843+828
6Swansea15825+426
7Southampton15843+1424
8QPR15663+624
9West Ham15654+1423
10Sheffield Utd15645+222
11Portsmouth15645+222
12Norwich15708+821
13Blackburn15636-121
14Cardiff15465018
15Wrexham15465-218
16Millwall15537-418
17Bristol City15537-818
18Bolton15528-917
19Charlton15456-1017
20Watford15438-1015
21Lincoln15438-1115
22Burnley15177-910
23Derby15249-1610
24Preston152211-178

More Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Millwall vs Lincoln?

Our pick is Millwall to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Millwall vs Lincoln?

On our numbers Millwall have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Lincoln 15%.

How many goals will there be in Millwall vs Lincoln?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Millwall vs Lincoln?

Our predicted score is Millwall 1–0 Lincoln, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Millwall vs Lincoln?

Millwall vs Lincoln (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at The Den.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.