Fakel welcome Dynamo to Fakel Stadium for a Cup fixture on Wednesday 5 August (16:30 WAT).
Current form
Fakel, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to FC Krasnodar, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Dynamo, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Baltika, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Dynamo, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Fakel.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fakel 1.0 xG, Dynamo 1.5 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fakel 26%, draw 25%, Dynamo 49%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fakel 0–1 Dynamo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fakel26%fair 3.87 · @3.80
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.66
Dynamo49%fair 2.04 · @1.99
2.51Expected goals
0.96Fakel xG
1.54Dynamo xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–112%
0–210%
1–29%
0–08%
1–08%
From our goals model: Fakel 1.0 – 1.5 Dynamo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dynamo to win✓
49%
2.04
1.99
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.31
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.67
Draw no bet
Dynamo (draw no bet)✓
65%
1.53
–
Asian handicap
Fakel +1 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.23
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
2.01
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.09
First team to score
Dynamo to score first✓
57%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dynamo / FT Dynamo✗
31%
3.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.69
–
Recent results
Fakel – last 6
LLLDWD
2 Aug
@ FC Krasnodar
2–3
L
25 Jul
vs Dinamo Makhachkala
1–2
L
15 Jul
@ FC Rostov
1–2
L
11 Jul
@ Akron
1–1
D
7 Jul
vs FC Rostov
3–1
W
8 May
vs Ska-khabarovsk
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Dynamo – last 6
LDWWWW
1 Aug
@ Baltika
1–2
L
25 Jul
vs Krylia Sovetov
0–0
D
18 Jul
vs CSKA Moscow
5–2
W
18 Jul
@ Akron
1–0
W
7 Jul
vs FC Orenburg
2–1
W
4 Jul
vs Nizhny Novgorod
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fakel and Dynamo.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Fakel vs Dynamo?
On our numbers Fakel have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Dynamo 49%.
How many goals will there be in Fakel vs Dynamo?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fakel vs Dynamo?
Our predicted score is Fakel 0–1 Dynamo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Fakel vs Dynamo?
Fakel vs Dynamo (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 5 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Fakel Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.