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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Spartak Moscow v FC Orenburg: numbers & prediction

Cup · Russia · Lukoil Arena

Spartak Moscow

WWDLD
5–1
FT

FC Orenburg

LWWLW
Spartak Moscow 65%Draw 21%FC Orenburg 15% Expected goals 1.97 – 0.88
64%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.60Odds

Picks by market

ResultSpartak Moscow to win ✓65% · @1.34
Double chanceSpartak Moscow or draw ✓85% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.87
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗7% · fair 13.49

Spartak Moscow vs FC Orenburg: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

FC Orenburg travel to face Spartak Moscow on Wednesday 5 August in the Cup, with Lukoil Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 16:30 WAT.

Current form

Spartak Moscow, last 5: WWDLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Akhmat, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

FC Orenburg, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Zenit, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Mar 2026) it ended FC Orenburg 0–2 Spartak Moscow.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Spartak Moscow 2.0 xG, FC Orenburg 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 58%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Spartak Moscow 65%, draw 21%, FC Orenburg 15%.
  • GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.87.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (64%, odds 1.60 – longer than our fair 1.56, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spartak Moscow 1–0 FC Orenburg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Spartak Moscow65%fair 1.55 · @1.34
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @5.60
FC Orenburg15%fair 6.80 · @8.80
2.85Expected goals
1.97Spartak Moscow xG
0.88FC Orenburg xG
50%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%

From our goals model: Spartak Moscow 2.0 – 0.9 FC Orenburg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSpartak Moscow to win ✓65%1.551.34
Double chanceSpartak Moscow or draw ✓85%1.171.08
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗50%2.001.87
Draw no betSpartak Moscow (draw no bet) ✓81%1.23–
Asian handicapSpartak Moscow -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.271.13
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.731.51
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗64%1.561.60
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗80%1.251.21
First team to scoreSpartak Moscow to score first ✓65%1.53–
Half-time resultSpartak Moscow ahead at half-time ✓45%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Spartak Moscow / FT Spartak Moscow ✓40%2.49–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗7%13.49–

Recent results

Spartak Moscow – last 6

WWDLDW
2 Aug@ Akhmat2–1W
25 Julvs Rodina Moskva3–0W
18 Jul@ Zenit1–1D
11 Jul@ Lokomotiv0–2L
8 Julvs Rubin0–0D
4 Julvs Krylia Sovetov3–2W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

FC Orenburg – last 6

LWWLWL
2 Augvs Zenit0–3L
26 Julvs FC Rostov2–1W
11 Julvs CSKA Moscow2–0W
7 Jul@ Dynamo1–2L
3 Jul@ Rubin2–1W
25 Junvs FK Neftekhimik0–1L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Mar 2026FC Orenburg v Spartak Moscow0–2
Spartak Moscow vs FC Orenburg head-to-head page →

More Cup predictions

League hub
FT Fakel0 Dynamo1 126%3.80X25%3.66249%1.99 1.0–1.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 72%@1.35 ✓
FT FC Krasnodar1 Akhmat1 Pens 5–4 157%1.63X23%4.25220%5.25 1.8–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 66%@1.43 ✓
FT Zenit1 Baltika0 164%1.39X24%4.65212%9.60 1.7–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.26 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Spartak Moscow vs FC Orenburg?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Spartak Moscow vs FC Orenburg?

On our numbers Spartak Moscow have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Orenburg 15%.

How many goals will there be in Spartak Moscow vs FC Orenburg?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Spartak Moscow vs FC Orenburg?

Our predicted score is Spartak Moscow 1–0 FC Orenburg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Spartak Moscow vs FC Orenburg?

Spartak Moscow vs FC Orenburg (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 5 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Lukoil Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.