FC Krasnodar 57%Draw 23%Akhmat 20%Expected goals 1.81 – 1.02
66%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.43 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.43Odds
Picks by market
ResultFC Krasnodar to win ✗57% · @1.63
Double chanceFC Krasnodar or draw ✓80% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.14
FC Krasnodar vs Akhmat: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:45 WAT, Wednesday 5 August: FC Krasnodar v Akhmat in the Cup, played at Ozon Arena.
Current form
FC Krasnodar, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Fakel, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 5. 3.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Akhmat, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Spartak Moscow, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours FC Krasnodar, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.5 for Akhmat.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Krasnodar 1.8 xG, Akhmat 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Krasnodar 57%, draw 23%, Akhmat 20%.
Lower-risk option: FC Krasnodar or draw (80%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (66%, odds 1.43). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Krasnodar 1–1 Akhmat. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Krasnodar57%fair 1.75 · @1.63
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @4.25
Akhmat20%fair 5.03 · @5.25
2.83Expected goals
1.81FC Krasnodar xG
1.02Akhmat xG
57%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–010%
0–16%
3–16%
From our goals model: FC Krasnodar 1.8 – 1.0 Akhmat expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Krasnodar to win✗
57%
1.75
1.63
Double chance
FC Krasnodar or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
1.70
Draw no bet
FC Krasnodar (draw no bet)
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Akhmat +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.19
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.71
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.50
1.43
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.13
First team to score
FC Krasnodar to score first
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
FC Krasnodar ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Krasnodar / FT FC Krasnodar✗
35%
2.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.14
–
Recent results
FC Krasnodar – last 6
WWDDWW
2 Aug
vs Fakel
3–2
W
26 Jul
@ Rubin
3–1
W
19 Jul
vs Baltika
1–1
D
11 Jul
vs FC Rostov
3–3
D
25 Jun
vs PSK Dinskaya
5–1
W
17 May
vs FC Orenburg
3–0
W
3.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Akhmat – last 6
LDWDWD
2 Aug
vs Spartak Moscow
1–2
L
26 Jul
@ Lokomotiv
1–1
D
11 Jul
@ IMT Novi Beograd
1–0
W
4 Jul
@ Novi Pazar
1–1
D
29 Jun
vs Borac Banja Luka
3–1
W
17 May
@ FC Sochi
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Krasnodar and Akhmat.
What is the prediction for FC Krasnodar vs Akhmat?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.43.
Who will win FC Krasnodar vs Akhmat?
On our numbers FC Krasnodar have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Akhmat 20%.
How many goals will there be in FC Krasnodar vs Akhmat?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Krasnodar vs Akhmat?
Our predicted score is FC Krasnodar 1–1 Akhmat, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is FC Krasnodar vs Akhmat?
FC Krasnodar vs Akhmat (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 5 August 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Ozon Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Fakel0
Dynamo1
Spartak Moscow5
FC Orenburg1
Zenit1
Baltika0