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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Zenit v Baltika: numbers & prediction

Cup · Russia · Gazprom Arena

Zenit

WWDDW
1–0
FT

Baltika

WLDWW
Zenit 64%Draw 24%Baltika 12% Expected goals 1.73 – 0.69
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.26 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.26Odds

Picks by market

ResultZenit to win ✓64% · @1.39
Double chanceZenit or draw ✓88% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.51
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.54

Zenit vs Baltika: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Zenit welcome Baltika to Gazprom Arena for a Cup fixture on Wednesday 5 August (18:45 WAT).

Current form

Zenit, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over FC Orenburg, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Baltika, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Dynamo, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Zenit, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.7 for Baltika.

Head to head

When they last met (3 Mar 2026) it ended Baltika 0–1 Zenit. The last 2 head-to-heads: Zenit 2 wins, Baltika 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 1.0 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Zenit 1.7 xG, Baltika 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Zenit 64%, draw 24%, Baltika 12%.
  • GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.51.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.26). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zenit 1–0 Baltika. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Zenit64%fair 1.55 · @1.39
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @4.65
Baltika12%fair 8.26 · @9.60
2.43Expected goals
1.73Zenit xG
0.69Baltika xG
50%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%

From our goals model: Zenit 1.7 – 0.7 Baltika expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultZenit to win ✓64%1.551.39
Double chanceZenit or draw ✓88%1.141.07
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓50%2.001.51
Draw no betZenit (draw no bet) ✓84%1.19–
Asian handicapZenit -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗70%1.431.32
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.821.79
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.331.26
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.141.05
First team to scoreZenit to score first ✓65%1.54–
Half-time resultZenit ahead at half-time ✓43%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Zenit / FT Zenit ✓39%2.57–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15%6.54–

Recent results

Zenit – last 6

WWDDWW
2 Aug@ FC Orenburg3–0W
25 Jul@ Akron5–0W
18 Julvs Spartak Moscow1–1D
13 Julvs Dinamo Makhachkala1–1D
12 Julvs FK Crvena Zvezda3–1W
8 Julvs Neftchi4–1W
2.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Baltika – last 6

WLDWWL
1 Augvs Dynamo2–1W
24 Jul@ CSKA Moscow1–2L
19 Jul@ FC Krasnodar1–1D
26 Jun@ Akron1–0W
26 Junvs Volga Ulyanovsk3–0W
17 Mayvs Dynamo1–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Mar 2026Baltika v Zenit0–1
27 Feb 2026Zenit v Baltika1–0
Zenit vs Baltika head-to-head page →

More Cup predictions

League hub
FT Fakel0 Dynamo1 126%3.80X25%3.66249%1.99 1.0–1.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 72%@1.35 ✓
FT Spartak Moscow5 FC Orenburg1 165%1.34X21%5.60215%8.80 2.0–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.60 ✗
FT FC Krasnodar1 Akhmat1 Pens 5–4 157%1.63X23%4.25220%5.25 1.8–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 66%@1.43 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Zenit vs Baltika?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.

Who will win Zenit vs Baltika?

On our numbers Zenit have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Baltika 12%.

How many goals will there be in Zenit vs Baltika?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Zenit vs Baltika?

Our predicted score is Zenit 1–0 Baltika, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Zenit vs Baltika?

Zenit vs Baltika (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 5 August 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Gazprom Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.