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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

CSKA Moscow v FC Rostov: numbers & prediction

Cup · Russia · VEB Arena

CSKA Moscow

WWWDW
4–0
FT

FC Rostov

WLLWW
CSKA Moscow 61%Draw 24%FC Rostov 15% Expected goals 1.71 – 0.71
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultCSKA Moscow to win ✓61% · @1.66
Double chanceCSKA Moscow or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.60

CSKA Moscow vs FC Rostov: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

FC Rostov travel to face CSKA Moscow on Wednesday 14 October in the Cup, with VEB Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 18:45 WAT.

Current form

CSKA Moscow, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Rodina Moskva, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

FC Rostov, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Akron, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours CSKA Moscow, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for FC Rostov.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Sep 2026) it ended FC Rostov 2–0 CSKA Moscow. The last 4 head-to-heads: CSKA Moscow 1 win, FC Rostov 1, draws 2. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give CSKA Moscow 1.7 xG, FC Rostov 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 48%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – CSKA Moscow 61%, draw 24%, FC Rostov 15%.
  • Lower-risk option: CSKA Moscow or draw (85%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: CSKA Moscow 1–0 FC Rostov. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

CSKA Moscow61%fair 1.64 · @1.66
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.98
FC Rostov15%fair 6.72 · @5.20
2.42Expected goals
1.71CSKA Moscow xG
0.71FC Rostov xG
48%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%

From our goals model: CSKA Moscow 1.7 – 0.7 FC Rostov expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCSKA Moscow to win ✓61%1.641.66
Double chanceCSKA Moscow or draw ✓85%1.171.17
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.931.85
Draw no betCSKA Moscow (draw no bet) ✓80%1.24–
Asian handicapCSKA Moscow -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.401.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗53%1.881.91
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74%1.351.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.151.07
First team to scoreCSKA Moscow to score first ✓64%1.55–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT CSKA Moscow / FT CSKA Moscow ✓38%2.62–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%6.60–

Recent results

CSKA Moscow – last 6

WWWDWL
11 Octvs Rodina Moskva3–0W
4 Octvs Arsenal Tula3–1W
17 Sep@ Dinamo Makhachkala3–1W
12 Sepvs Rubin1–1D
5 Sep@ Zenit2–1W
1 Sep@ FC Rostov0–2L
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

FC Rostov – last 6

WLLWWL
9 Octvs Akron1–0W
17 Sepvs Dynamo0–3L
13 Sep@ Spartak Moscow0–3L
5 Sepvs Fakel3–1W
1 Sepvs CSKA Moscow2–0W
29 Aug@ FC Krasnodar0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Sep 2026FC Rostov v CSKA Moscow2–0
8 Aug 2026CSKA Moscow v FC Rostov0–0
21 Apr 2026CSKA Moscow v FC Rostov1–1
18 Feb 2026CSKA Moscow v FC Rostov3–1
CSKA Moscow vs FC Rostov head-to-head page →

More Cup predictions

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FT Enisey2 Kaluga0 137%2.00X25%2.80238%3.82 1.3–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.33 ✓
FT Leningradets2 Luki-Energiya0 157%1.88X19%3.46225%3.36 1.7–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 70%@1.42 ✓
FT Krylia Sovetov0 Baltika2 131%3.15X24%3.14245%2.44 0.8–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 82%@1.22 ✓
FT Volga Ulyanovsk0 Murom0 Pens 4–3 165%1.68X23%3.35212%4.45 1.4–0.4xG 1Volga Ulyanovsk to win 65%@1.68 ✗
FT Akhmat1 Dynamo2 133%2.84X22%3.52245%2.44 1.2–1.4xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 71%@1.35 ✓
FT Dinamo Makhachkala1 Zenit2 113%5.30X23%4.30264%1.60 0.7–1.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 71%@1.36 ✓
FT Chertanovo Moscow2 Tekstilshchik1 114%3.58X26%3.32260%1.86 0.9–1.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for CSKA Moscow vs FC Rostov?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win CSKA Moscow vs FC Rostov?

On our numbers CSKA Moscow have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and FC Rostov 15%.

How many goals will there be in CSKA Moscow vs FC Rostov?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for CSKA Moscow vs FC Rostov?

Our predicted score is CSKA Moscow 1–0 FC Rostov, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is CSKA Moscow vs FC Rostov?

CSKA Moscow vs FC Rostov (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at VEB Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.