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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Krylia Sovetov v Baltika: numbers & prediction

Cup · Russia · Solidarnost Samara Arena

Krylia Sovetov

DDWDD
0–2
FT

Baltika

DLDLD
Krylia Sovetov 31%Draw 24%Baltika 45% Expected goals 0.80 – 1.07
82%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2

Value bet: Baltika to win @ 2.44 – our chance 45% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultBaltika to win ✓45% · @2.44
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.38
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.09

Krylia Sovetov vs Baltika: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Krylia Sovetov welcome Baltika to Solidarnost Samara Arena for a Cup fixture on Wednesday 14 October (14:15 WAT).

Current form

Krylia Sovetov, last 5: DDWDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Spartak Moscow, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Baltika, last 5: DLDLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Akhmat, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (2 Sep 2026) it ended Baltika 0–0 Krylia Sovetov. The last 3 head-to-heads: Krylia Sovetov 0 wins, Baltika 2, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.0 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Krylia Sovetov 0.8 xG, Baltika 1.1 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Krylia Sovetov 31%, draw 24%, Baltika 45%.
  • GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.85.
  • Price worth noting: Baltika to win @2.44 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 45%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Krylia Sovetov 0–1 Baltika. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Krylia Sovetov31%fair 3.26 · @3.15
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.14
Baltika45%fair 2.22 · @2.44
1.88Expected goals
0.80Krylia Sovetov xG
1.07Baltika xG
47%Both score
36%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–116%
0–015%
1–113%
1–012%
0–29%
1–27%

From our goals model: Krylia Sovetov 0.8 – 1.1 Baltika expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBaltika to win ✓45%2.222.44 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.38
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓53%1.881.85
Draw no betBaltika (draw no bet) ✓60%1.68–
Asian handicapKrylia Sovetov +1 (Asian handicap) ✗78%1.29–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓62%1.611.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓64%1.571.69 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.231.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.091.04
First team to scoreBaltika to score first ✓48%2.06–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗51%1.95–
Half-time / full-timeHT Baltika / FT Baltika ✓23%4.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16%6.09–

Recent results

Krylia Sovetov – last 6

DDWDDD
10 Octvs Spartak Moscow1–1D
16 Sep@ Lokomotiv1–1D
11 Sepvs Rodina Moskva2–1W
5 Sepvs FC Krasnodar2–2D
2 Sep@ Baltika0–0D
29 Aug@ Akhmat3–3D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Baltika – last 6

DLDLDW
11 Oct@ Akhmat0–0D
16 Sepvs Zenit2–3L
12 Sep@ Fakel2–2D
6 Sepvs Lokomotiv0–1L
2 Sepvs Krylia Sovetov0–0D
30 Aug@ Rodina Moskva3–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Sep 2026Baltika v Krylia Sovetov0–0
8 Aug 2026Krylia Sovetov v Baltika0–2
22 Feb 2026Krylia Sovetov v Baltika0–1
Krylia Sovetov vs Baltika head-to-head page →

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Krylia Sovetov vs Baltika?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Krylia Sovetov vs Baltika?

On our numbers Krylia Sovetov have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Baltika 45%.

How many goals will there be in Krylia Sovetov vs Baltika?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Krylia Sovetov vs Baltika?

Our predicted score is Krylia Sovetov 0–1 Baltika, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Krylia Sovetov vs Baltika?

Krylia Sovetov vs Baltika (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 14:15 (West Africa Time) at Solidarnost Samara Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.