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Nizhny Novgorod v Shinnik Yaroslavl: numbers & prediction

Cup · Russia · Nizhny Novgorod Stadium

Nizhny Novgorod

WWWWW
4–0
FT

Shinnik Yaroslavl

WDLDW
Nizhny Novgorod 66%Draw 16%Shinnik Yaroslavl 18% Expected goals 1.96 – 0.83
66%
Betarazi pick

Nizhny Novgorod to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.53Odds

Picks by market

ResultNizhny Novgorod to win ✓66% · @1.53
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.20

Nizhny Novgorod vs Shinnik Yaroslavl: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 14 October the Cup brings Nizhny Novgorod against Shinnik Yaroslavl at Nizhny Novgorod Stadium. Kick-off: 17:15 WAT.

Current form

Nizhny Novgorod, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Enisey, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Shinnik Yaroslavl, last 5: WDLDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Tekstilshchik, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Nizhny Novgorod, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.5 for Shinnik Yaroslavl.

Head to head

When they last met (2 Aug 2026) it ended Nizhny Novgorod 3–0 Shinnik Yaroslavl.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Nizhny Novgorod 2.0 xG, Shinnik Yaroslavl 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Nizhny Novgorod 66%, draw 16%, Shinnik Yaroslavl 18%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.60.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Nizhny Novgorod to win (66%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nizhny Novgorod 1–0 Shinnik Yaroslavl. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Nizhny Novgorod66%fair 1.50 · @1.53
Draw16%fair 6.43 · @4.50
Shinnik Yaroslavl18%fair 5.57 · @4.15
2.79Expected goals
1.96Nizhny Novgorod xG
0.83Shinnik Yaroslavl xG
58%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%

From our goals model: Nizhny Novgorod 2.0 – 0.8 Shinnik Yaroslavl expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNizhny Novgorod to win ✓66%1.501.53
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84%1.181.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.741.60
Draw no betNizhny Novgorod (draw no bet) ✓79%1.27–
Asian handicapNizhny Novgorod -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.281.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.781.54
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗66%1.521.45
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.221.15
First team to scoreNizhny Novgorod to score first ✓66%1.52–
Half-time resultNizhny Novgorod ahead at half-time ✓46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nizhny Novgorod / FT Nizhny Novgorod ✓41%2.46–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.20–

Recent results

Nizhny Novgorod – last 6

WWWWWD
10 Octvs Enisey5–0W
17 Sepvs Leningradets6–0W
13 Sep@ Torpedo Moskva2–1W
9 Sep@ Dinamo Stavropol2–1W
5 Sep@ FC Sochi1–0W
30 Augvs Volga Ulyanovsk2–2D
3.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Shinnik Yaroslavl – last 6

WDLDWD
10 Octvs Tekstilshchik2–0W
27 Sepvs Ska-khabarovsk0–0D
18 Sepvs KAMAZ0–1L
14 Sepvs Ural1–1D
10 Sepvs Torpedo Moskva2–0W
5 Sepvs Rotor Volgograd2–2D
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Aug 2026Nizhny Novgorod v Shinnik Yaroslavl3–0
Nizhny Novgorod vs Shinnik Yaroslavl head-to-head page →

More Cup predictions

League hub
FT Ska-khabarovsk2 Dinamo Kirov0 155%1.93X21%3.50224%3.18 1.9–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.38 ✓
FT Enisey2 Kaluga0 137%2.00X25%2.80238%3.82 1.3–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.33 ✓
FT Leningradets2 Luki-Energiya0 157%1.88X19%3.46225%3.36 1.7–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 70%@1.42 ✓
FT Krylia Sovetov0 Baltika2 131%3.15X24%3.14245%2.44 0.8–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 82%@1.22 ✓
FT Volga Ulyanovsk0 Murom0 Pens 4–3 165%1.68X23%3.35212%4.45 1.4–0.4xG 1Volga Ulyanovsk to win 65%@1.68 ✗
FT Akhmat1 Dynamo2 133%2.84X22%3.52245%2.44 1.2–1.4xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 71%@1.35 ✓
FT Dinamo Makhachkala1 Zenit2 113%5.30X23%4.30264%1.60 0.7–1.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 71%@1.36 ✓
FT Chertanovo Moscow2 Tekstilshchik1 114%3.58X26%3.32260%1.86 0.9–1.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nizhny Novgorod vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?

Our pick is Nizhny Novgorod to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Nizhny Novgorod vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?

On our numbers Nizhny Novgorod have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Shinnik Yaroslavl 18%.

How many goals will there be in Nizhny Novgorod vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nizhny Novgorod vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?

Our predicted score is Nizhny Novgorod 1–0 Shinnik Yaroslavl, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Nizhny Novgorod vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?

Nizhny Novgorod vs Shinnik Yaroslavl (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Nizhny Novgorod Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.