Volga Ulyanovsk 65%Draw 23%Murom 12%Expected goals 1.43 – 0.39
65%
Betarazi pick
Volga Ulyanovsk to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.68 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.68Odds
Picks by market
ResultVolga Ulyanovsk to win ✗65% · @1.68
Double chanceVolga Ulyanovsk or draw ✓88% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.69
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗23% · fair 4.33
Volga Ulyanovsk vs Murom: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Volga Ulyanovsk welcome Murom to Trud Stadium (Ulyanovsk) for a Cup fixture on Wednesday 14 October (15:00 WAT).
Current form
Volga Ulyanovsk, last 5: DWLLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Rotor Volgograd, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Murom, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Iskra Smolensk, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Murom, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.0 for Volga Ulyanovsk.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Volga Ulyanovsk 1.4 xG, Murom 0.4 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Volga Ulyanovsk 65%, draw 23%, Murom 12%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.69.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Volga Ulyanovsk to win (65%, odds 1.68 – longer than our fair 1.53, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Volga Ulyanovsk 1–0 Murom. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Volga Ulyanovsk65%fair 1.53 · @1.68
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.35
Murom12%fair 8.48 · @4.45
1.83Expected goals
1.43Volga Ulyanovsk xG
0.39Murom xG
47%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–023%
2–017%
0–016%
1–19%
3–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Volga Ulyanovsk 1.4 – 0.4 Murom expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Volga Ulyanovsk to win✗
65%
1.53
1.68 ▲
Double chance
Volga Ulyanovsk or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.69
Draw no bet
Volga Ulyanovsk (draw no bet)
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Volga Ulyanovsk -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.34
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.61
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
1.02
First team to score
Volga Ulyanovsk to score first✗
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Volga Ulyanovsk / FT Volga Ulyanovsk✗
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
23%
4.33
–
Recent results
Volga Ulyanovsk – last 6
DWLLDD
10 Oct
@ Rotor Volgograd
2–2
D
4 Oct
@ Veles
2–1
W
26 Sep
vs Leningradets
0–1
L
18 Sep
vs Spartak Kostroma
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ FC UFA
2–2
D
9 Sep
@ Volgar Astrakhan
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Murom – last 6
WWWWWW
10 Oct
@ Iskra Smolensk
4–1
W
27 Sep
vs Luki-Energiya
2–0
W
18 Sep
@ Zvezda St. Petersburg
3–0
W
13 Sep
vs Torpedo Vladimir
4–0
W
9 Sep
vs Veles
1–0
W
30 Aug
vs Dinamo Vologda
2–1
W
2.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Volga Ulyanovsk and Murom.
What is the prediction for Volga Ulyanovsk vs Murom?
Our pick is Volga Ulyanovsk to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.68.
Who will win Volga Ulyanovsk vs Murom?
On our numbers Volga Ulyanovsk have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Murom 12%.
How many goals will there be in Volga Ulyanovsk vs Murom?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Volga Ulyanovsk vs Murom?
Our predicted score is Volga Ulyanovsk 1–0 Murom, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Volga Ulyanovsk vs Murom?
Volga Ulyanovsk vs Murom (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Trud Stadium (Ulyanovsk).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.