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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Chertanovo Moscow v Tekstilshchik: numbers & prediction

Cup · Russia · Arena Chertanovo

Chertanovo Moscow

WLWWD
2–1
FT

Tekstilshchik

LLDWL
Chertanovo Moscow 14%Draw 26%Tekstilshchik 60% Expected goals 0.85 – 1.91
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
2

Value bet: Tekstilshchik to win @ 1.86 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultTekstilshchik to win ✗60% · @1.86
Double chanceTekstilshchik or draw ✗86% · @1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.82
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.19

Chertanovo Moscow vs Tekstilshchik: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Chertanovo Moscow welcome Tekstilshchik to Arena Chertanovo for a Cup fixture on Wednesday 14 October (17:00 WAT).

Current form

Chertanovo Moscow, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Baltika II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Tekstilshchik, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Shinnik Yaroslavl, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Chertanovo Moscow, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for Tekstilshchik.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chertanovo Moscow 0.9 xG, Tekstilshchik 1.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Chertanovo Moscow 14%, draw 26%, Tekstilshchik 60%.
  • Lower-risk option: Tekstilshchik or draw (86%) at 1.19.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.82.
  • Price worth noting: Tekstilshchik to win @1.86 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 60%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chertanovo Moscow 0–2 Tekstilshchik. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chertanovo Moscow14%fair 7.15 · @3.58
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.32
Tekstilshchik60%fair 1.66 · @1.86
2.76Expected goals
0.85Chertanovo Moscow xG
1.91Tekstilshchik xG
50%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–112%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
0–06%

From our goals model: Chertanovo Moscow 0.9 – 1.9 Tekstilshchik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTekstilshchik to win ✗60%1.661.86 ▲
Double chanceTekstilshchik or draw ✗86%1.161.19
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓50%2.001.82
Draw no betTekstilshchik (draw no bet) ✗81%1.23–
Asian handicapTekstilshchik -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.361.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.971.71
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.391.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.161.03
First team to scoreTekstilshchik to score first65%1.54–
Half-time resultTekstilshchik ahead at half-time ✗45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tekstilshchik / FT Tekstilshchik ✗39%2.53–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.19–

Recent results

Chertanovo Moscow – last 6

WLWWDW
11 Octvs Baltika II1–0W
4 Oct@ Yenisey II1–2L
21 Sepvs Kosmos Dolgoprudny4–2W
12 Sep@ Dinamo St. Petersburg2–1W
9 Sepvs FK Neftekhimik1–1D
6 Sepvs Cherepovets2–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Tekstilshchik – last 6

LLDWLL
10 Oct@ Shinnik Yaroslavl0–2L
17 Sepvs Rotor Volgograd0–2L
13 Sep@ Leningradets2–2D
8 Sepvs Arsenal Tula1–0W
4 Sepvs Torpedo Moskva1–4L
29 Augvs Veles0–1L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Chertanovo Moscow and Tekstilshchik.

Chertanovo Moscow vs Tekstilshchik head-to-head page →

More Cup predictions

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FT Ska-khabarovsk2 Dinamo Kirov0 155%1.93X21%3.50224%3.18 1.9–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.38 ✓
FT Enisey2 Kaluga0 137%2.00X25%2.80238%3.82 1.3–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.33 ✓
FT Leningradets2 Luki-Energiya0 157%1.88X19%3.46225%3.36 1.7–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 70%@1.42 ✓
FT Krylia Sovetov0 Baltika2 131%3.15X24%3.14245%2.44 0.8–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 82%@1.22 ✓
FT Volga Ulyanovsk0 Murom0 Pens 4–3 165%1.68X23%3.35212%4.45 1.4–0.4xG 1Volga Ulyanovsk to win 65%@1.68 ✗
FT Akhmat1 Dynamo2 133%2.84X22%3.52245%2.44 1.2–1.4xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 71%@1.35 ✓
FT Dinamo Makhachkala1 Zenit2 113%5.30X23%4.30264%1.60 0.7–1.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 71%@1.36 ✓
FT Nizhny Novgorod4 Shinnik Yaroslavl0 166%1.53X16%4.50218%4.15 2.0–0.8xG 1Nizhny Novgorod to win 66%@1.53 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chertanovo Moscow vs Tekstilshchik?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Chertanovo Moscow vs Tekstilshchik?

On our numbers Chertanovo Moscow have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Tekstilshchik 60%.

How many goals will there be in Chertanovo Moscow vs Tekstilshchik?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chertanovo Moscow vs Tekstilshchik?

Our predicted score is Chertanovo Moscow 0–2 Tekstilshchik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Chertanovo Moscow vs Tekstilshchik?

Chertanovo Moscow vs Tekstilshchik (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Chertanovo.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.