Accrington ST 48%Draw 22%Newport County 30%Expected goals 2.06 – 1.61
65%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultAccrington ST to win ✗48% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.70
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗71% · fair 1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.50
Accrington ST vs Newport County: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 19 September: Accrington ST v Newport County in the League Two, played at The Crown Ground. In the table, Accrington ST are 9th, upper half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Newport County are 14th (lower half) with 18. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Accrington ST, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Barnet, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Newport County, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Fleetwood Town, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Accrington ST 2.1 xG, Newport County 1.6 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 71% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Accrington ST 48%, draw 22%, Newport County 30%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.53, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Accrington ST 2–1 Newport County. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Accrington ST48%fair 2.08 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.30
Newport County30%fair 3.31 · @3.40
3.67Expected goals
2.06Accrington ST xG
1.61Newport County xG
65%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
2–27%
1–27%
3–16%
2–05%
From our goals model: Accrington ST 2.1 – 1.6 Newport County expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Accrington ST to win✗
48%
2.08
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.53
1.70 ▲
Draw no bet
Accrington ST (draw no bet)
61%
1.63
–
Asian handicap
Newport County +1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
First team to score
Accrington ST to score first✗
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Accrington ST ahead at half-time✗
38%
2.62
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Accrington ST / FT Accrington ST✗
30%
3.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.50
–
Recent results
Accrington ST – last 6
LWDLLD
12 Sep
@ Barnet
1–2
L
5 Sep
vs Crawley Town
3–2
W
1 Sep
vs Grimsby
2–2
D
29 Aug
@ Walsall
2–3
L
22 Aug
@ Exeter City
0–2
L
15 Aug
vs Colchester
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Newport County – last 6
DLLDLW
12 Sep
vs Fleetwood Town
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Northampton
0–1
L
1 Sep
@ Salford City
1–2
L
29 Aug
vs Tranmere
2–2
D
22 Aug
@ Bristol Rovers
3–5
L
15 Aug
vs Rochdale
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Accrington ST and Newport County.
What is the prediction for Accrington ST vs Newport County?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Accrington ST vs Newport County?
On our numbers Accrington ST have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Newport County 30%.
How many goals will there be in Accrington ST vs Newport County?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Accrington ST vs Newport County?
Our predicted score is Accrington ST 2–1 Newport County, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Accrington ST vs Newport County?
Accrington ST vs Newport County (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The Crown Ground.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
