Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
1
Value bet: Colchester to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultColchester to win ✗57% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.23
Colchester vs Cheltenham: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Colchester welcome Cheltenham to Colchester Community Stadium for a League Two fixture on Saturday 19 September (15:00 WAT). In the table, Colchester are 23rd, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 13 matches; Cheltenham are 5th (upper half) with 21.
Current form
Colchester, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Crewe, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Cheltenham, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Crawley Town, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Momentum favours Cheltenham, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Colchester.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Colchester 2.1 xG, Cheltenham 1.2 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Colchester 57%, draw 20%, Cheltenham 22%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Colchester to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.57, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Colchester 2–1 Cheltenham. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Colchester57%fair 1.74 · @1.95
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @3.40
Cheltenham22%fair 4.50 · @3.50
3.25Expected goals
2.05Colchester xG
1.20Cheltenham xG
64%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–110%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Colchester 2.1 – 1.2 Cheltenham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Colchester to win✗
57%
1.74
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.26
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.65 ▲
Draw no bet
Colchester (draw no bet)
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Cheltenham +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
First team to score
Colchester to score first
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Colchester ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Colchester / FT Colchester✗
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.23
–
Recent results
Colchester – last 6
DLLWWD
12 Sep
vs Crewe
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Swindon Town
1–3
L
1 Sep
@ Bristol Rovers
0–2
L
29 Aug
vs Rochdale
1–0
W
22 Aug
vs Oldham
2–1
W
15 Aug
@ Accrington ST
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cheltenham – last 6
WDWDLW
12 Sep
@ Crawley Town
3–1
W
5 Sep
vs Grimsby
2–2
D
1 Sep
vs York
3–2
W
29 Aug
@ Barnet
2–2
D
22 Aug
@ Swindon Town
1–2
L
15 Aug
vs Rotherham
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Colchester and Cheltenham.
What is the prediction for Colchester vs Cheltenham?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Colchester vs Cheltenham?
On our numbers Colchester have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Cheltenham 22%.
How many goals will there be in Colchester vs Cheltenham?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Colchester vs Cheltenham?
Our predicted score is Colchester 2–1 Cheltenham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Colchester vs Cheltenham?
Colchester vs Cheltenham (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Colchester Community Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
