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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Gillingham v Bristol Rovers: numbers & prediction

League Two · England · Priestfield Stadium
3–0
FT
Gillingham 35%Draw 22%Bristol Rovers 44% Expected goals 1.32 – 1.51
59%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.70Odds
1

Value bet: Gillingham to win @ 3.40 – our chance 35% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultBristol Rovers to win ✗44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.23

Gillingham vs Bristol Rovers: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 19 September the League Two brings Gillingham against Bristol Rovers at Priestfield Stadium. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Gillingham are 8th, upper half, on 20 points after 14 matches; Bristol Rovers are 17th (lower half) with 16.

Current form

Gillingham, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Tranmere, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Bristol Rovers, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Grimsby, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Bristol Rovers, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Gillingham.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gillingham 1.3 xG, Bristol Rovers 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gillingham 35%, draw 22%, Bristol Rovers 44%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.
  • Price worth noting: Gillingham to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 35%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gillingham 1–1 Bristol Rovers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gillingham35%fair 2.89 · @3.40
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.30
Bristol Rovers44%fair 2.29 · @2.00
2.83Expected goals
1.32Gillingham xG
1.51Bristol Rovers xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%

From our goals model: Gillingham 1.3 – 1.5 Bristol Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBristol Rovers to win ✗44%2.292.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.701.70
Draw no betBristol Rovers (draw no bet) ✗56%1.79–
Asian handicapGillingham +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.29–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.86–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.46–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
First team to scoreBristol Rovers to score first ✗50%1.99–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.44–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bristol Rovers / FT Bristol Rovers ✗25%4.02–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.23–

Recent results

Gillingham – last 6

WWDDDL
12 Sepvs Tranmere2–0W
5 Sep@ Rochdale4–1W
1 Sep@ Chesterfield1–1D
29 Augvs Northampton1–1D
22 Aug@ Fleetwood Town0–0D
15 Augvs Walsall0–3L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Bristol Rovers – last 6

LWWWDW
12 Sep@ Grimsby0–2L
5 Sepvs Rotherham1–0W
1 Sepvs Colchester2–0W
29 Aug@ Crawley Town2–0W
25 Augvs Chelsea U212–2D
22 Augvs Newport County5–3W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Gillingham and Bristol Rovers.

Gillingham vs Bristol Rovers head-to-head page →

League Two table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Salford City141013+1031
2Barnet13751+1026
3Walsall13571+922
4Crewe14572022
5Cheltenham14635-221
6Grimsby14554+620
7York14554+320
8Gillingham14554+120
9Accrington ST14473+619
10Chesterfield14545+319
11Tranmere14473+219
12Exeter City14545+219
13Swindon Town14545-219
14Newport County14464+318
15Shrewsbury14536-518
16Fleetwood Town14455017
17Bristol Rovers14518-616
18Oldham14437-415
19Port Vale12435-415
20Rochdale14437-915
21Northampton13355-114
22Rotherham14266-712
23Colchester13265-712
24Crawley Town12237-89

More League Two predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gillingham vs Bristol Rovers?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Gillingham vs Bristol Rovers?

On our numbers Gillingham have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bristol Rovers 44%.

How many goals will there be in Gillingham vs Bristol Rovers?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gillingham vs Bristol Rovers?

Our predicted score is Gillingham 1–1 Bristol Rovers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Gillingham vs Bristol Rovers?

Gillingham vs Bristol Rovers (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Priestfield Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.