Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Crewe to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCrewe to win ✗61% · @1.85
Double chanceCrewe or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.07
Crewe vs Shrewsbury: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Shrewsbury travel to face Crewe on Saturday 19 September in the League Two, with Alexandra Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Crewe are 4th, among the top four, on 22 points after 14 matches; Shrewsbury are 15th (lower half) with 18.
Current form
Crewe, last 5: DDDDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Colchester, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Shrewsbury, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Northampton, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Crewe 1.5 xG, Shrewsbury 0.5 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Crewe 61%, draw 23%, Shrewsbury 15%.
Lower-risk option: Crewe or draw (85%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Crewe to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Crewe or draw (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Crewe 1–0 Shrewsbury. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Crewe61%fair 1.63 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.30
Shrewsbury15%fair 6.56 · @4.00
2.00Expected goals
1.46Crewe xG
0.54Shrewsbury xG
46%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–020%
2–014%
0–014%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%
From our goals model: Crewe 1.5 – 0.5 Shrewsbury expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Crewe to win✗
61%
1.63
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Crewe or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.87
1.91
Draw no bet
Crewe (draw no bet)
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Shrewsbury +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Crewe to score first
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Crewe / FT Crewe✗
36%
2.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
5.07
–
Recent results
Crewe – last 6
DDDDLW
12 Sep
@ Colchester
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs York
1–1
D
1 Sep
vs Walsall
2–2
D
29 Aug
@ Port Vale
0–0
D
25 Aug
@ Barnsley
2–3
L
22 Aug
vs Northampton
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Shrewsbury – last 6
WLLWLL
12 Sep
vs Northampton
2–0
W
5 Sep
@ Fleetwood Town
0–2
L
1 Sep
@ Rochdale
0–3
L
29 Aug
vs Salford City
1–0
W
25 Aug
@ Fleetwood Town
0–4
L
22 Aug
vs Barnet
1–3
L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Crewe and Shrewsbury.
Our pick is Crewe or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Crewe vs Shrewsbury?
On our numbers Crewe have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Shrewsbury 15%.
How many goals will there be in Crewe vs Shrewsbury?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Crewe vs Shrewsbury?
Our predicted score is Crewe 1–0 Shrewsbury, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Crewe vs Shrewsbury?
Crewe vs Shrewsbury (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Alexandra Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
