Grimsby 65%Draw 23%Crawley Town 13%Expected goals 1.93 – 0.74
65%
Betarazi pick
Grimsby to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Picks by market
ResultGrimsby to win ✓65% · @1.40
Double chanceGrimsby or draw ✓87% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.46
Grimsby vs Crawley Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 19 September: Grimsby v Crawley Town in the League Two, played at Blundell Park. In the table, Grimsby are 6th, upper half, on 20 points after 14 matches; Crawley Town are 24th (in the drop zone) with 9.
Current form
Grimsby, last 5: WDDDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Bristol Rovers, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Crawley Town, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Cheltenham, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Grimsby, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Crawley Town.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Apr 2026) it ended Crawley Town 0–2 Grimsby.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Grimsby 1.9 xG, Crawley Town 0.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Grimsby 65%, draw 23%, Crawley Town 13%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Grimsby to win (65%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Grimsby 1–0 Crawley Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Grimsby65%fair 1.55 · @1.40
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @4.40
Crawley Town13%fair 7.74 · @6.50
2.67Expected goals
1.93Grimsby xG
0.74Crawley Town xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Grimsby 1.9 – 0.7 Crawley Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Grimsby vs Crawley Town?
Our pick is Grimsby to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Grimsby vs Crawley Town?
On our numbers Grimsby have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Crawley Town 13%.
How many goals will there be in Grimsby vs Crawley Town?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Grimsby vs Crawley Town?
Our predicted score is Grimsby 1–0 Crawley Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Grimsby vs Crawley Town?
Grimsby vs Crawley Town (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Blundell Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
