Value bet: Rotherham to win @ 2.80 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultRotherham to win ✓39% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.23
Northampton vs Rotherham: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 19 September the League Two brings Northampton against Rotherham at Sixfields Stadium. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Northampton are 21st, lower half, on 14 points after 13 matches; Rotherham are 22nd (in the drop zone) with 12. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Northampton, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Shrewsbury, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Rotherham, last 5: DLDWD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Salford City, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Northampton 1.1 xG, Rotherham 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Northampton 38%, draw 23%, Rotherham 39%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Rotherham to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Northampton 1–1 Rotherham. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Northampton38%fair 2.63 · @2.40
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.10
Rotherham39%fair 2.57 · @2.80
2.25Expected goals
1.12Northampton xG
1.13Rotherham xG
55%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Northampton 1.1 – 1.1 Rotherham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rotherham to win✓
39%
2.57
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.80
Draw no bet
Rotherham (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Northampton +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Rotherham to score first✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rotherham / FT Rotherham✗
20%
4.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
13.23
–
Recent results
Northampton – last 6
LWDDLL
12 Sep
@ Shrewsbury
0–2
L
5 Sep
vs Newport County
1–0
W
1 Sep
vs Crawley Town
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Gillingham
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Crewe
0–1
L
18 Aug
vs Brighton U21
0–3
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Rotherham – last 6
DLDWDL
12 Sep
vs Salford City
3–3
D
5 Sep
@ Bristol Rovers
0–1
L
1 Sep
@ Tranmere
2–2
D
29 Aug
vs Chesterfield
2–1
W
22 Aug
vs York
1–1
D
15 Aug
@ Cheltenham
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Northampton and Rotherham.
What is the prediction for Northampton vs Rotherham?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Northampton vs Rotherham?
On our numbers Northampton have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Rotherham 39%.
How many goals will there be in Northampton vs Rotherham?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Northampton vs Rotherham?
Our predicted score is Northampton 1–1 Rotherham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Northampton vs Rotherham?
Northampton vs Rotherham (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Sixfields Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
