Stevenage vs Wigan: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 10 October the League One brings Stevenage against Wigan at Broadhall Way. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Stevenage are 16th, lower half, on 16 points after 12 matches; Wigan are 21st (lower half) with 11.
Current form
Stevenage, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Leicester, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Wigan, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Blackpool, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Stevenage, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Wigan.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Stevenage 1.5 xG, Wigan 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Stevenage 48%, draw 23%, Wigan 28%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stevenage 1–1 Wigan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Stevenage48%fair 2.06 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.10
Wigan28%fair 3.51 · @3.40
2.57Expected goals
1.50Stevenage xG
1.07Wigan xG
52%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Stevenage 1.5 – 1.1 Wigan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stevenage to win✓
48%
2.06
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.85
Draw no bet
Stevenage (draw no bet)✓
63%
1.59
–
Asian handicap
Wigan +1 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Stevenage to score first✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stevenage / FT Stevenage✗
28%
3.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.86
–
Recent results
Stevenage – last 6
WWLWWD
6 Oct
vs Leicester
2–1
W
22 Sep
@ Walsall
6–1
W
19 Sep
@ Leyton Orient
0–1
L
10 Sep
vs Luton
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Barnsley
5–1
W
1 Sep
@ Peterborough
0–0
D
2.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Wigan – last 6
WLDLWL
22 Sep
vs Blackpool
3–2
W
19 Sep
vs Wycombe
0–1
L
12 Sep
@ Sheffield Wednesday
0–0
D
5 Sep
vs Stockport County
0–4
L
2 Sep
vs Milton Keynes Dons
3–1
W
30 Aug
@ AFC Wimbledon
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stevenage and Wigan.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Stevenage vs Wigan?
On our numbers Stevenage have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Wigan 28%.
How many goals will there be in Stevenage vs Wigan?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stevenage vs Wigan?
Our predicted score is Stevenage 1–1 Wigan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Stevenage vs Wigan?
Stevenage vs Wigan (League One) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Broadhall Way.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
